\n<\/p>\n
\u0110\u00e2u l\u00e0 m\u1eb7t h\u00e0ng t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 m\u1ea1nh nh\u1ea5t, gi\u1ea3m gi\u00e1 m\u1ea1nh nh\u1ea5t to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u 2024?<\/p>\n
Ca cao v\u00e0 c\u00e0 ph\u00ea l\u00e0 m\u1eb7t h\u00e0ng t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 m\u1ea1nh nh\u1ea5t n\u0103m 2024 v\u00e0 \u0111\u00e2y c\u0169ng l\u00e0 n\u0103m th\u1ee9 hai li\u00ean ti\u1ebfp \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y x\u1ea3y ra v\u1edbi nguy\u00ean nh\u00e2n ch\u1ee7 y\u1ebfu t\u1eeb ngu\u1ed3n cung to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u b\u1ecb thi\u1ebfu h\u1ee5t. Ng\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ea1i, than d\u00f9ng cho ng\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p luy\u1ec7n th\u00e9p gi\u1ea3m gi\u00e1 m\u1ea1nh nh\u1ea5t do kinh t\u1ebf Trung Qu\u1ed1c t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng ch\u1eadm l\u1ea1i. <\/p>\n
Trong n\u0103m 2025, c\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 chi ph\u1ed1i th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng h\u00e0ng ho\u00e1, b\u1edfi khi \u00f4ng Donald Trump quay tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i Nh\u00e0 Tr\u1eafng \u0111e do\u1ea1 m\u1ea1nh tay \u00e1p thu\u1ebf, gi\u1edbi ph\u00e2n t\u00edch d\u1ef1 \u0111o\u00e1n. Trong khi \u0111\u00f3, \u0111\u1ed3ng \u0111\u00f4 la M\u1ef9 s\u1ebd ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3. <\/p>\n
Nhu c\u1ea7u tr\u00fa \u1ea9n c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 c\u0169ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 gi\u00fap th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng kim lo\u1ea1i qu\u00fd t\u0103ng gi\u00e1. V\u00e0 gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u th\u00f4 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 gi\u1ea3m trong n\u0103m th\u1ee9 3 li\u00ean ti\u1ebfp do ngu\u1ed3n cung d\u1ed3i d\u00e0o, theo c\u00e1c chuy\u00ean gia ph\u00e2n t\u00edch. <\/p>\n
Ca cao, c\u00e0 ph\u00ea th\u1eafng l\u1edbn <\/p>\n
M\u1ed9t tin x\u1ea5u cho nh\u1eefng ng\u01b0\u1eddi y\u00eau th\u00edch s\u00f4 c\u00f4 la l\u00e0 gi\u00e1 ca cao g\u1ea7n nh\u01b0 t\u0103ng g\u1ea5p 3 l\u1ea7n trong n\u0103m ngo\u00e1i, v\u01b0\u1ee3t xa m\u1ee9c t\u0103ng c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c m\u1eb7t h\u00e0ng kh\u00e1c. Gi\u00e1 m\u1eb7t h\u00e0ng n\u00e0y \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u1ea1t m\u1ee9c cao k\u1ef7 l\u1ee5c 12,931 USD<\/span>\/t\u1ea5n t\u1ea1i New York v\u00e0o \u0111\u1ea7u th\u00e1ng 12\/2024, v\u1edbi d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o ngu\u1ed3n cung s\u1ebd th\u1ea5p h\u01a1n trong m\u00f9a th\u1ee9 t\u01b0 li\u00ean ti\u1ebfp \u1edf T\u00e2y Phi do th\u1eddi ti\u1ebft kh\u00f4 h\u1ea1n. <\/p>\n \u201cH\u00e0ng ho\u00e1 m\u1ec1m, d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ea7u l\u00e0 ca cao v\u00e0 c\u00e0 ph\u00ea, l\u00e0 ng\u00e0nh h\u00e0ng th\u1eafng l\u1edbn trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh th\u1eddi ti\u1ebft b\u1ea5t l\u1ee3i \u1edf c\u00e1c v\u00f9ng tr\u1ed3ng tr\u1ecdt ch\u00ednh\u201d, \u00f4ng Ole Hansen – Gi\u00e1m \u0111\u1ed1c chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a t\u1ea1i Saxo Bank cho bi\u1ebft. C\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t ca cao h\u00e0ng \u0111\u1ea7u l\u00e0 B\u1edd Bi\u1ec3n Ng\u00e0 v\u00e0 Ghana b\u1ecb m\u1ea5t m\u00f9a do th\u1eddi ti\u1ebft b\u1ea5t l\u1ee3i, b\u1ec7nh \u0111\u1eadu, bu\u00f4n l\u1eadu v\u00e0 xu h\u01b0\u1edbng gi\u1ea3m di\u1ec7n t\u00edch \u0111\u1ed3n \u0111i\u1ec1n \u0111\u1ec3 khai th\u00e1c v\u00e0ng b\u1ea5t h\u1ee3p ph\u00e1p. <\/p>\n T\u00ecnh tr\u1ea1ng kh\u00f4 h\u1ea1n c\u0169ng l\u00e0m c\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng ngu\u1ed3n cung c\u00e0 ph\u00ea. Gi\u00e1 c\u00e0 ph\u00ea arabica tr\u00ean s\u00e0n ICE t\u0103ng l\u00ean m\u1ee9c cao nh\u1ea5t trong h\u01a1n 40 n\u0103m qua do lo ng\u1ea1i r\u1eb1ng h\u1ea1n h\u00e1n nghi\u00eam tr\u1ecdng v\u00e0o \u0111\u1ea7u n\u0103m nay \u0111\u00e3 l\u00e0m h\u1ecfng v\u1ee5 m\u00f9a s\u1eafp t\u1edbi \u1edf Brazil, n\u01b0\u1edbc s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t c\u00e0 ph\u00ea l\u1edbn nh\u1ea5t th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi. <\/p>\n Gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u, qu\u1eb7ng s\u1eaft b\u1ecb \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng t\u1eeb s\u1ef1 tr\u00ec tr\u1ec7 c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c <\/p>\n D\u1ea7u th\u00f4 v\u00e0 kim lo\u1ea1i n\u1eb7ng ph\u1ea3i \u0111\u1ed1i m\u1eb7t v\u1edbi nhi\u1ec1u tr\u1edf ng\u1ea1i trong n\u0103m 2024 khi Trung Qu\u1ed1c, n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf l\u1edbn th\u1ee9 hai th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi v\u00e0 l\u00e0 n\u01b0\u1edbc mua h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a h\u00e0ng \u0111\u1ea7u, g\u1eb7p kh\u00f3 kh\u0103n do kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n. C\u00e1c nh\u00e0 ph\u00e2n t\u00edch cho bi\u1ebft d\u1ea7u th\u00f4 Brent v\u00e0 West Texas Intermediate c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 c\u00f3 n\u0103m gi\u1ea3m gi\u00e1 th\u1ee9 ba li\u00ean ti\u1ebfp t\u00ednh \u0111\u1ebfn h\u1ebft n\u0103m 2025 do ngu\u1ed3n cung v\u01b0\u1ee3t xa \u0111\u00e0 ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i c\u1ee7a nhu c\u1ea7u, m\u1eb7c d\u00f9 ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch c\u1ee7a \u00f4ng Trump \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t d\u1ea7u l\u1edbn, nh\u01b0 Nga v\u00e0 Iran, c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf ngu\u1ed3n cung. <\/p>\n C\u00e1c nh\u00e0 ph\u00e2n t\u00edch \u01b0\u1edbc t\u00ednh c\u00f4ng su\u1ea5t d\u01b0 th\u1eeba c\u1ee7a OPEC \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u1ea1t m\u1ee9c ch\u01b0a t\u1eebng c\u00f3 l\u00e0 5 tri\u1ec7u th\u00f9ng m\u1ed7i ng\u00e0y, d\u00f9 nh\u00f3m n\u00e0y \u0111\u00e3 k\u00e9o d\u00e0i th\u1eddi gian c\u1eaft gi\u1ea3m s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng \u0111\u1ebfn th\u00e1ng 3 n\u0103m sau. Trong khi \u0111\u00f3, gi\u00e1 qu\u1eb7ng s\u1eaft t\u1ea1i Trung Qu\u1ed1c d\u00f9 \u0111\u00e3 ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i m\u1ed9t ph\u1ea7n trong nh\u1eefng th\u00e1ng g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y nh\u01b0ng v\u1eabn gi\u1ea3m kho\u1ea3ng 15% trong c\u1ea3 n\u0103m 2024. <\/p>\n Theo gi\u1edbi ph\u00e2nt \u00edch, gi\u00e1 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 gi\u1ea3m tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i v\u00e0o n\u0103m t\u1edbi do ngu\u1ed3n cung qu\u1eb7ng s\u1eaft t\u0103ng v\u00e0 nhu c\u1ea7u th\u00e9p c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c gi\u1ea3m, b\u1ea5t ch\u1ea5p c\u00e1c bi\u1ec7n ph\u00e1p k\u00edch th\u00edch c\u1ee7a B\u1eafc Kinh. <\/p>\n \u201cCh\u00fang t\u00f4i d\u1ef1 \u0111o\u00e1n ngu\u1ed3n cung qu\u1eb7ng s\u1eaft t\u1eeb c\u00e1c c\u00f4ng ty khai th\u00e1c l\u1edbn s\u1ebd cao h\u01a1n n\u0103m 2024, nh\u01b0ng s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng th\u00e9p t\u1ea1i Trung Qu\u1ed1c c\u00f3 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng gi\u1ea3m\u201d, \u00f4ng Pei Hao, nh\u00e0 ph\u00e2n t\u00edch c\u1ea5p cao t\u1ea1i c\u00f4ng ty m\u00f4i gi\u1edbi Freight Investor Services, cho bi\u1ebft. \u00d4ng Hao d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o gi\u00e1 qu\u1eb7ng s\u1eaft trung b\u00ecnh 100 USD\/t\u1ea5n v\u00e0o n\u0103m 2025, gi\u1ea3m so v\u1edbi m\u1ee9c trung b\u00ecnh l\u00e0 110 USD<\/a> c\u1ee7a n\u0103m 2024.<\/p>\n Tr\u00ean th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng kim lo\u1ea1i qu\u00fd, gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng v\u00e0 b\u1ea1c t\u0103ng h\u01a1n 25% trong n\u0103m 2024 v\u00e0 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 l\u00ean cao h\u01a1n n\u1eefa trong n\u0103m t\u1edbi, t\u00f9y thu\u1ed9c v\u00e0o vi\u1ec7c C\u1ee5c D\u1ef1 tr\u1eef Li\u00ean bang M\u1ef9 c\u1eaft gi\u1ea3m l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t v\u00e0 ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch thu\u1ebf quan v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed1i ngo\u1ea1i c\u1ee7a Trump, theo gi\u1edbi chuy\u00ean gia. <\/p>\n \u201cV\u00e0ng l\u00e0 m\u1eb7t h\u00e0ng \u0111\u00e1ng ch\u00fa \u00fd nh\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi ch\u00fang t\u00f4i trong n\u0103m 2025\u201d, \u00f4ng Warren Patterson – Gi\u00e1m \u0111\u1ed1c nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a c\u1ee7a ING<\/a> cho bi\u1ebft. \u00d4ng n\u00f3i th\u00eam r\u1eb1ng vi\u1ec7c c\u00e1c ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng trung \u01b0\u01a1ng mua v\u00e0ng m\u1ea1nh s\u1ebd h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 gi\u00e1 kim lo\u1ea1i qu\u00fd n\u00e0y. Tr\u00ean th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng kim lo\u1ea1i, gi\u00e1 \u0111\u1ed3ng v\u00e0 nh\u00f4m t\u0103ng trong n\u0103m 2024, do ngu\u1ed3n cung h\u1ea1n h\u1eb9p, qu\u00e1 tr\u00ecnh chuy\u1ec3n \u0111\u1ed5i n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng v\u00e0 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng c\u00e1c bi\u1ec7n ph\u00e1p k\u00edch th\u00edch c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c s\u1ebd th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y nhu c\u1ea7u.<\/p>\n D\u1ea7u c\u1ecd, cao su v\u00e0 ng\u0169 c\u1ed1c <\/p>\n \u0110\u1ed1i v\u1edbi c\u00e1c s\u1ea3n ph\u1ea9m n\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p, gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u c\u1ecd t\u01b0\u01a1ng lai c\u1ee7a Malaysia t\u0103ng kho\u1ea3ng 20% trong n\u0103m 2024, d\u1ee9t chu\u1ed7i hai n\u0103m gi\u1ea3m li\u00ean ti\u1ebfp. M\u1eb7t h\u00e0ng n\u00e0y t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 nh\u1edd quy \u0111\u1ecbnh s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t nhi\u00ean li\u1ec7u sinh h\u1ecdc c\u1ee7a Indonesia v\u00e0 th\u1eddi ti\u1ebft b\u1ea5t l\u1ee3i \u1edf Indonesia v\u00e0 Malaysia. <\/p>\n Th\u1eddi ti\u1ebft b\u1ea5t l\u1ee3i c\u0169ng th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y gi\u00e1 cao su t\u01b0\u01a1ng lai \u1edf Tokyo t\u0103ng 42%. Ng\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ea1i, \u0111\u1eadu n\u00e0nh, ng\u00f4 v\u00e0 l\u00faa m\u00ec c\u00f3 ngu\u1ed3n cung d\u1ed3i d\u00e0o, v\u00e0 t\u1ea5t c\u1ea3 \u0111\u1ec1u gi\u1ea3m trong n\u0103m 2024. Tuy nhi\u00ean, gi\u00e1 l\u00faa m\u00ec c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 m\u1ed9t ph\u1ea7n trong n\u0103m 2025 khi Nga, n\u01b0\u1edbc xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u l\u1edbn nh\u1ea5t, tr\u1ea3i qua m\u1ed9t n\u0103m \u1ea5m \u00e1p h\u01a1n, \u0111e do\u1ea1 k\u00e9o gi\u1ea3m s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng. <\/p>\n N\u01b0\u1edbc xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u \u0111\u1eadu n\u00e0nh h\u00e0ng \u0111\u1ea7u Brazil \u0111ang chu\u1ea9n b\u1ecb tung ra th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ngu\u1ed3n cung k\u1ef7 l\u1ee5c v\u00e0o n\u0103m 2025, nh\u1eb1m \u0111\u00e1p \u1ee9ng nhu c\u1ea7u t\u0103ng c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c n\u1ebfu chi\u1ebfn tranh th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i Washington-B\u1eafc Kinh n\u1ed5 ra.<\/p>\n Kim Dung (Theo Reuters) <\/p>\n FILI<\/a><\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n\n \u0110\u00e2u l\u00e0 m\u1eb7t h\u00e0ng t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 m\u1ea1nh nh\u1ea5t, gi\u1ea3m gi\u00e1 m\u1ea1nh nh\u1ea5t to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u 2024? Ca cao v\u00e0 c\u00e0 ph\u00ea l\u00e0 m\u1eb7t h\u00e0ng t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 m\u1ea1nh nh\u1ea5t n\u0103m 2024 v\u00e0 \u0111\u00e2y c\u0169ng l\u00e0 n\u0103m th\u1ee9 hai li\u00ean ti\u1ebfp \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y x\u1ea3y ra v\u1edbi nguy\u00ean nh\u00e2n ch\u1ee7 y\u1ebfu t\u1eeb ngu\u1ed3n cung to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u b\u1ecb thi\u1ebfu h\u1ee5t….<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":1169,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[218],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1168","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tin-thuc-pham"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/hoanongteva.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1168","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/hoanongteva.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/hoanongteva.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hoanongteva.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hoanongteva.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=1168"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/hoanongteva.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1168\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hoanongteva.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/1169"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/hoanongteva.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=1168"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hoanongteva.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=1168"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hoanongteva.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=1168"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}
ngu\u1ed3n vietstock.vn<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"