{"id":1879,"date":"2025-09-08T09:07:11","date_gmt":"2025-09-08T02:07:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/hoanongteva.com\/?p=1879"},"modified":"2025-09-08T09:07:11","modified_gmt":"2025-09-08T02:07:11","slug":"nien-vu-2025-2026-nganh-mia-duong-doi-dien-nguy-co-dut-gay","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/hoanongteva.com\/?p=1879","title":{"rendered":"Ni\u00ean v\u1ee5 2025-2026 ng\u00e0nh m\u00eda \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u1ed1i di\u1ec7n nguy c\u01a1 \u0111\u1ee9t g\u00e3y"},"content":{"rendered":"

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Ni\u00ean v\u1ee5 2025-2026 ng\u00e0nh m\u00eda \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u1ed1i di\u1ec7n nguy c\u01a1 \u0111\u1ee9t g\u00e3y <\/p>\n

D\u00f9 s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c t\u0103ng, ng\u00e0nh m\u00eda \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111ang b\u01b0\u1edbc v\u00e0o ni\u00ean v\u1ee5 2025-2026 v\u1edbi h\u00e0ng lo\u1ea1t kh\u00f3 kh\u0103n khi gi\u00e1 m\u00eda gi\u1ea3m, t\u1ed3n kho k\u1ef7 l\u1ee5c v\u00e0 \u00e1p l\u1ef1c gia t\u0103ng t\u1eeb \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng nh\u1eadp l\u1eadu. Ch\u1ee7 t\u1ecbch Hi\u1ec7p h\u1ed9i M\u00eda \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng Vi\u1ec7t Nam Nguy\u1ec5n V\u0103n L\u1ed9c c\u1ea3nh b\u00e1o nguy c\u01a1 \u0111\u1ee9t g\u00e3y chu\u1ed7i li\u00ean k\u1ebft n\u00f4ng d\u00e2n – doanh nghi\u1ec7p n\u1ebfu ng\u00e0nh kh\u00f4ng k\u1ecbp t\u00e1i c\u1ea5u tr\u00fac v\u00e0 c\u00f3 s\u1ef1 can thi\u1ec7p k\u1ecbp th\u1eddi t\u1eeb Nh\u00e0 n\u01b0\u1edbc. <\/p>\n

V\u00f2ng xo\u00e1y “\u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c m\u00f9a m\u1ea5t gi\u00e1”<\/p>\n

Ni\u00ean v\u1ee5 2024-2025 \u0111\u00e1nh d\u1ea5u s\u1ef1 ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i ngo\u1ea1n m\u1ee5c c\u1ee7a ng\u00e0nh m\u00eda \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng Vi\u1ec7t Nam v\u1edbi s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng \u00e9p m\u00eda \u0111\u1ea1t 12.4 tri\u1ec7u t\u1ea5n v\u00e0 g\u1ea7n 1.3 tri\u1ec7u t\u1ea5n \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng c\u00e1c lo\u1ea1i, t\u0103ng l\u1ea7n l\u01b0\u1ee3t 110% v\u00e0 120% so v\u1edbi v\u1ee5 tr\u01b0\u1edbc. Sau 4 v\u1ee5 li\u00ean ti\u1ebfp, s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng \u0111\u00e3 t\u0103ng h\u01a1n g\u1ea5p r\u01b0\u1ee1i, \u0111\u01b0a ng\u00e0nh m\u00eda \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i qu\u1ef9 \u0111\u1ea1o t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng. <\/p>\n

Tuy nhi\u00ean, b\u01b0\u1edbc v\u00e0o ni\u00ean v\u1ee5 2025-2026, ng\u00e0nh \u0111ang ch\u1ecbu \u00e1p l\u1ef1c l\u1edbn t\u1eeb t\u1ed3n kho k\u1ef7 l\u1ee5c, chi\u1ebfm h\u01a1n 60% s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng v\u1ee5 tr\u01b0\u1edbc, t\u00ednh \u0111\u1ebfn ng\u00e0y 31\/07\/2025 v\u00e0 gi\u00e1 b\u00e1n d\u01b0\u1edbi gi\u00e1 th\u00e0nh. Gi\u00e1 \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng k\u00ednh tr\u1eafng hi\u1ec7n dao \u0111\u1ed9ng trong kho\u1ea3ng 17,400-18,200 \u0111\u1ed3ng\/kg, \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng tinh luy\u1ec7n 19,500 \u0111\u1ed3ng\/kg, gi\u1ea3m 2,000 \u0111\u1ed3ng\/kg so v\u1edbi n\u0103m tr\u01b0\u1edbc v\u00e0 th\u1ea5p nh\u1ea5t khu v\u1ef1c so v\u1edbi Philippines l\u1eabn Indonesia (tr\u00ean 30,000 \u0111\u1ed3ng\/kg).<\/p>\n

Trao \u0111\u1ed5i v\u1edbi ng\u01b0\u1eddi vi\u1ebft, \u00f4ng Nguy\u1ec5n V\u0103n L\u1ed9c – Ch\u1ee7 t\u1ecbch Hi\u1ec7p h\u1ed9i M\u00eda \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng Vi\u1ec7t Nam (VSSA) cho bi\u1ebft, nguy\u00ean nh\u00e2n l\u1edbn nh\u1ea5t kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng d\u01b0 cung, m\u00e0 ch\u00ednh l\u00e0 \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng nh\u1eadp l\u1eadu tr\u00e0n ng\u1eadp th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng. “Ch\u1eebng n\u00e0o \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng nh\u1eadp l\u1eadu ch\u01b0a \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3, ngu\u1ed3n cung gi\u00e1 r\u1ebb kh\u00f4ng ch\u00ednh ng\u1ea1ch s\u1ebd ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c tr\u00e0n v\u00e0o, khi\u1ebfn gi\u00e1 \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng n\u1ed9i \u0111\u1ecba kh\u00f3 ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i b\u1ec1n v\u1eefng. Do \u0111\u00f3, ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng l\u1eadu l\u00e0 \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n ti\u00ean quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ec3 ng\u00e0nh \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh”<\/em>, \u00f4ng nh\u1ea5n m\u1ea1nh.<\/p>\n <\/p>\n <\/p>\n <\/p>\n
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“Phao c\u1ee9u sinh” t\u1eeb Ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7<\/p>\n

Trong v\u0103n b\u1ea3n s\u1ed1 7951\/VPCP-NN ng\u00e0y 25\/08\/2025, Th\u1ee7 t\u01b0\u1edbng Ph\u1ea1m Minh Ch\u00ednh \u0111\u00e3 ch\u1ec9 \u0111\u1ea1o B\u1ed9 N\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p & M\u00f4i tr\u01b0\u1eddng kh\u1ea9n tr\u01b0\u01a1ng r\u00e0 so\u00e1t t\u1ed3n kho, s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t v\u00e0 t\u00ecnh tr\u1ea1ng \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng nh\u1eadp l\u1eadu, b\u00e1o c\u00e1o tr\u01b0\u1edbc ng\u00e0y 10\/09. \u0110\u00e2y \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c xem l\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed9ng th\u00e1i quan tr\u1ecdng, mang t\u00ednh “gi\u1ea3i nguy” cho to\u00e0n ng\u00e0nh. \u00d4ng Nguy\u1ec5n V\u0103n L\u1ed9c \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 cao \u0111\u1ed9ng th\u00e1i n\u00e0y: “Ch\u1ec9 \u0111\u1ea1o ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng nh\u1eadp l\u1eadu v\u00e0 \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1 l\u00e0 phao c\u1ee9u sinh c\u1ee7a ng\u00e0nh \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng trong ho\u00e0n c\u1ea3nh hi\u1ec7n nay”<\/em>. <\/p>\n

Theo Ch\u1ee7 t\u1ecbch VSSA, hi\u1ec7n tr\u1ea1ng ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng l\u1eadu t\u1ed3n t\u1ea1i nhi\u1ec1u b\u1ea5t c\u1eadp, bao g\u1ed3m ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t l\u01b0u th\u00f4ng; \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng sang chi\u1ebft, \u0111\u00f3ng g\u00f3i vi ph\u1ea1m quy \u0111\u1ecbnh ghi nh\u00e3n, v\u00e0 \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng ph\u00e8n vi ph\u1ea1m ngu\u1ed3n g\u1ed1c xu\u1ea5t x\u1ee9. \u00d4ng nh\u1ea5n m\u1ea1nh: “Gi\u1ea3i ph\u00e1p c\u1ea5p b\u00e1ch l\u00e0 kh\u1eafc ph\u1ee5c tri\u1ec7t \u0111\u1ec3 nh\u1eefng l\u1ed7 h\u1ed5ng n\u00e0y \u0111\u1ec3 b\u1ea3o v\u1ec7 chu\u1ed7i li\u00ean k\u1ebft n\u00f4ng d\u00e2n – doanh nghi\u1ec7p”<\/em>. <\/p>\n

N\u1ebfu th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1eadp l\u1ea1i k\u1ef7 c\u01b0\u01a1ng, h\u1ec7 l\u1ee5y theo \u00f4ng L\u1ed9c l\u00e0 n\u00f4ng d\u00e2n bu\u1ed9c ph\u1ea3i h\u1ea1 gi\u00e1 m\u00eda, t\u1eeb \u0111\u00f3 m\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1ef1c g\u1eafn b\u00f3, chuy\u1ec3n sang c\u00e2y tr\u1ed3ng kh\u00e1c, \u0111e d\u1ecda s\u1ef1 t\u1ed3n t\u1ea1i l\u00e2u d\u00e0i c\u1ee7a ng\u00e0nh. <\/p>\n

D\u00f9 nhi\u1ec1u kh\u00f3 kh\u0103n, d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng ni\u00ean v\u1ee5 2025-2026 v\u1eabn s\u1ebd cao h\u01a1n ni\u00ean v\u1ee5 tr\u01b0\u1edbc nh\u1edd di\u1ec7n t\u00edch m\u00eda m\u1edf r\u1ed9ng. Tuy nhi\u00ean, \u00f4ng L\u1ed9c th\u1eb3ng th\u1eafn: “Gi\u00e1 m\u00eda ch\u1eafc ch\u1eafn ph\u1ea3i gi\u1ea3m, do gi\u00e1 \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111i xu\u1ed1ng. C\u00e1c nh\u00e0 m\u00e1y bu\u1ed9c ph\u1ea3i t\u00e1i c\u1ea5u tr\u00fac, v\u00e0 \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 k\u00e9o s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng ni\u00ean v\u1ee5 2026-2027 suy gi\u1ea3m”<\/em>. \u0110i\u1ec1u \u0111\u00f3 cho th\u1ea5y s\u1ef1 b\u1ea5p b\u00eanh c\u1ee7a ng\u00e0nh khi ph\u1ee5 thu\u1ed9c qu\u00e1 nhi\u1ec1u v\u00e0o gi\u00e1 \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng, trong khi c\u00e1c r\u00e0o c\u1ea3n v\u1ec1 nh\u1eadp l\u1eadu, c\u1ea1nh tranh t\u1eeb siro ng\u00f4 (HFCS) v\u00e0 bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed5i kh\u00ed h\u1eadu v\u1eabn hi\u1ec7n h\u1eefu.<\/p>\n

Th\u00e1ch th\u1ee9c Net Zero v\u00e0 con \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng chuy\u1ec3n \u0111\u1ed5i xanh <\/p>\n

Cam k\u1ebft Net Zero 2050 \u0111\u1eb7t \u00e1p l\u1ef1c l\u1edbn l\u00ean ng\u00e0nh m\u00eda \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng, v\u1edbi ph\u00e1t th\u1ea3i \u01b0\u1edbc t\u00ednh 440,000 t\u1ea5n CO2\/n\u0103m t\u1eeb s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng 800,000 t\u1ea5n \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng, ch\u1ee7 y\u1ebfu t\u1eeb ch\u1ebf bi\u1ebfn, \u0111\u1ed1t nhi\u00ean li\u1ec7u h\u00f3a th\u1ea1ch v\u00e0 ph\u1ee5 ph\u1ea9m kh\u00f4ng x\u1eed l\u00fd \u0111\u00fang c\u00e1ch (t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 0.55 t\u1ea5n CO2\/t\u1ea5n \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng). H\u1ea7u h\u1ebft nh\u00e0 m\u00e1y v\u1eabn theo m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh truy\u1ec1n th\u1ed1ng, ti\u00eau hao n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng cao v\u00e0 t\u1eadn d\u1ee5ng ph\u1ee5 ph\u1ea9m h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf. Do \u0111\u00f3, n\u1ebfu kh\u00f4ng thay \u0111\u1ed5i, ng\u00e0nh s\u1ebd \u0111\u1ed1i di\u1ec7n r\u00e0o c\u1ea3n t\u1eeb c\u00e1c th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng nh\u1eadp kh\u1ea9u.<\/p>\n

Theo \u00f4ng Nguy\u1ec5n V\u0103n L\u1ed9c, l\u1ed1i ra kh\u00f4ng n\u1eb1m \u1edf vi\u1ec7c \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 \u1ed3 \u1ea1t ngay m\u00e0 \u1edf t\u1eebng b\u01b0\u1edbc “th\u00f4ng minh”: “Ng\u00e0nh m\u00eda \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng c\u1ea7n \u01b0u ti\u00ean c\u00f4ng ngh\u1ec7 qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd t\u1ed1i \u01b0u \u0111\u1ea7u v\u00e0o, t\u1eeb thay \u0111\u1ed5i b\u1ed9 gi\u1ed1ng, ph\u00e2n b\u00f3n, n\u01b0\u1edbc t\u01b0\u1edbi, song song v\u1edbi vi\u1ec7c gia t\u0103ng ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng t\u00e1i tu\u1ea7n ho\u00e0n c\u00e1c ph\u1ee5 ph\u1ea9m ng\u00e0nh \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng v\u00e0o canh t\u00e1c m\u00eda. \u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 c\u00e1ch kh\u1ea3 thi nh\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ec3 ti\u1ebfn t\u1edbi s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t b\u1ec1n v\u1eefng”<\/em>. <\/p>\n

M\u1ed9t y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 kh\u00e1c c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 c\u1ea3i thi\u1ec7n tri\u1ec3n v\u1ecdng ng\u00e0nh l\u00e0 l\u1ed9 tr\u00ecnh \u00e1p d\u1ee5ng x\u0103ng E10 t\u1eeb n\u0103m 2026. B\u1ed9 C\u00f4ng Th\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111ang tr\u00ecnh Ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 k\u1ebf ho\u1ea1ch tri\u1ec3n khai, b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u th\u00ed \u0111i\u1ec3m t\u1eeb th\u00e1ng 8\/2025 t\u1ea1i H\u00e0 N\u1ed9i, TPHCM v\u00e0 H\u1ea3i Ph\u00f2ng. Ethanol, th\u00e0nh ph\u1ea7n ch\u00ednh c\u1ee7a E10, \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t t\u1eeb m\u00eda, s\u1eafn, ng\u00f4\u2026 gi\u00fap gi\u1ea3m ph\u00e1t th\u1ea3i kh\u00ed nh\u00e0 k\u00ednh. \u0110\u00e2y \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c xem l\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1ef1c h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 c\u00e2n b\u1eb1ng s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 m\u00e1y m\u00eda \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng trong d\u00e0i h\u1ea1n, theo xu h\u01b0\u1edbng \u1edf \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9 v\u00e0 Brazil.<\/p>\n

Tuy v\u1eady, Ch\u1ee7 t\u1ecbch VSSA cho r\u1eb1ng, c\u01a1 h\u1ed9i n\u00e0y v\u1eabn ch\u01b0a r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng: “Chi ph\u00ed s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t Ethanol kh\u00f4ng h\u1ec1 r\u1ebb, trong khi th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ti\u00eau th\u1ee5 ch\u01b0a \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh. L\u1ed9 tr\u00ecnh \u00e1p d\u1ee5ng x\u0103ng E10 hi\u1ec7n m\u1edbi ch\u1ec9 l\u00e0 \u0111\u1ec1 xu\u1ea5t, ch\u01b0a c\u00f3 v\u0103n b\u1ea3n ch\u00ednh th\u1ee9c. B\u00ean c\u1ea1nh \u0111\u00f3, v\u1eabn thi\u1ebfu ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch khuy\u1ebfn kh\u00edch \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 v\u00e0o chu\u1ed7i gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb t\u1eeb nguy\u00ean li\u1ec7u \u0111\u1ebfn ti\u00eau th\u1ee5”<\/em>. N\u00f3i c\u00e1ch kh\u00e1c, \u0111\u1ec3 bi\u1ebfn Ethanol th\u00e0nh “c\u1ee9u c\u00e1nh” cho ng\u00e0nh \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng, kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 ch\u1ec9 tr\u00f4ng ch\u1edd v\u00e0o th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng, m\u00e0 c\u1ea7n h\u00e0nh lang ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd, nh\u1ea5t qu\u00e1n. <\/p>\n

Ng\u00e0nh m\u00eda \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng Vi\u1ec7t Nam \u0111ang \u0111\u1ee9ng \u1edf ng\u00e3 r\u1ebd. M\u1ed9t m\u1eb7t, ni\u00ean v\u1ee5 2024-2025 ch\u1ee9ng minh kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i ngo\u1ea1n m\u1ee5c v\u1edbi s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng k\u1ef7 l\u1ee5c. M\u1eb7t kh\u00e1c, t\u1ed3n kho l\u1edbn, gi\u00e1 b\u00e1n th\u1ea5p v\u00e0 \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng nh\u1eadp l\u1eadu cho th\u1ea5y s\u1ef1 mong manh c\u1ee7a chu\u1ed7i gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb. Ph\u00e1t bi\u1ec3u k\u1ebft l\u1ea1i, \u00f4ng Nguy\u1ec5n V\u0103n L\u1ed9c nh\u1ea5n m\u1ea1nh: “N\u1ebfu c\u01a1 quan ch\u1ee9c n\u0103ng kh\u00f4ng kh\u1ea9n tr\u01b0\u01a1ng h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng, nguy c\u01a1 ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1 chu\u1ed7i li\u00ean k\u1ebft v\u00e0 suy gi\u1ea3m s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng l\u00e0 hi\u1ec7n h\u1eefu. Nh\u01b0ng n\u1ebfu ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c th\u1ef1c thi quy\u1ebft li\u1ec7t, c\u00f9ng v\u1edbi chuy\u1ec3n \u0111\u1ed5i c\u00f4ng ngh\u1ec7 v\u00e0 m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh b\u1ec1n v\u1eefng, ng\u00e0nh m\u00eda \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng ho\u00e0n to\u00e0n c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 gi\u1eef v\u1eefng v\u1ecb th\u1ebf v\u00e0 ti\u1ebfn t\u1edbi t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng d\u00e0i h\u1ea1n”<\/em>.<\/p>\n <\/p>\n <\/p>\n <\/p>\n
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Th\u1ebf M\u1ea1nh<\/a><\/p>\n

FILI<\/a><\/p>\n

– 08:03 08\/09\/2025<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n