{"id":2194,"date":"2026-03-08T10:24:03","date_gmt":"2026-03-08T03:24:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/hoanongteva.com\/?p=2194"},"modified":"2026-03-08T10:24:03","modified_gmt":"2026-03-08T03:24:03","slug":"xung-dot-trung-dong-khien-gia-phan-bon-tang-manh-co-tac-dong-toi-viet-nam","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/hoanongteva.com\/?p=2194","title":{"rendered":"Xung \u0111\u1ed9t Trung \u0110\u00f4ng khi\u1ebfn gi\u00e1 ph\u00e2n b\u00f3n t\u0103ng m\u1ea1nh, c\u00f3 t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng t\u1edbi Vi\u1ec7t Nam?"},"content":{"rendered":"

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Xung \u0111\u1ed9t Trung \u0110\u00f4ng khi\u1ebfn gi\u00e1 ph\u00e2n b\u00f3n t\u0103ng m\u1ea1nh, c\u00f3 t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng t\u1edbi Vi\u1ec7t Nam?<\/p>\n

Hi\u1ec7p h\u1ed9i Ph\u00e2n b\u00f3n Vi\u1ec7t Nam khuy\u1ebfn ngh\u1ecb c\u00e1c doanh nghi\u1ec7p c\u1ea7n ch\u1ee7 \u0111\u1ed9ng \u0111a d\u1ea1ng h\u00f3a ngu\u1ed3n cung, \u01b0u ti\u00ean b\u1ea3o \u0111\u1ea3m cho th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng n\u1ed9i \u0111\u1ecba.<\/p>\n

Trung t\u00e2m Th\u00f4ng tin C\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p v\u00e0 Th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i – B\u1ed9 C\u00f4ng Th\u01b0\u01a1ng (VITIC) d\u1eabn ngu\u1ed3n tin Reuters cho bi\u1ebft gi\u00e1 m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 lo\u1ea1i ph\u00e2n b\u00f3n \u0111\u00e3 t\u0103ng v\u1ecdt sau khi cu\u1ed9c xung \u0111\u1ed9t \u1edf Trung \u0110\u00f4ng gia t\u0103ng t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng t\u1edbi ngu\u1ed3n cung v\u1eadn chuy\u1ec3n qua eo bi\u1ec3n Hormuz.<\/p>\n <\/p>\n <\/p>\n <\/p>\n
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Gi\u00e1 ph\u00e2n b\u00f3n trong n\u01b0\u1edbc c\u0169ng s\u1ebd ch\u1ecbu t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng n\u1ebfu xung \u0111\u1ed9t \u1edf Trung \u0110\u00f4ng k\u00e9o d\u00e0i.<\/p>\n

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Theo \u0111\u00f3, gi\u00e1 urea, m\u1ed9t lo\u1ea1i ph\u00e2n b\u00f3n kh\u00f4 ch\u1ee9a nit\u01a1 th\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t t\u1eeb kh\u00ed t\u1ef1 nhi\u00ean t\u1ea1i Ai C\u1eadp, m\u1ed9t nh\u00e0 s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t urea l\u1edbn, \u0111\u00e3 t\u0103ng 13% l\u00ean 550 USD\/t\u1ea5n t\u1eeb 485-490 USD\/t\u1ea5n, theo Chris Lawson c\u1ee7a c\u00f4ng ty t\u01b0 v\u1ea5n kim lo\u1ea1i CRU Group.<\/p>\n

Gi\u00e1 t\u0103ng c\u0169ng ph\u1ea3n \u00e1nh \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi ph\u00e2n b\u00f3n nh\u1eadp kh\u1ea9u v\u00e0o B\u1eafc M\u1ef9, t\u0103ng kho\u1ea3ng 77 USD<\/a> l\u00ean 606 USD<\/span> t\u1ea1i khu v\u1ef1c c\u1ea3ng quanh New Orleans…<\/p>\n

Theo c\u00f4ng ty theo d\u00f5i gi\u00e1 h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a Argus, gi\u00e1 ur\u00ea giao d\u1ecbch tr\u00ean s\u00e0 lan t\u1ea1i New Orleans, th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng giao d\u1ecbch l\u1edbn v\u00e0 th\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c d\u00f9ng l\u00e0m gi\u00e1 tham chi\u1ebfu t\u1ea1i M\u1ef9 \u0111\u00e3 t\u0103ng th\u00eam 50-80 USD<\/span> m\u1ed7i t\u1ea5n ng\u1eafn, t\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u01b0\u01a1ng kho\u1ea3ng 907 kg, l\u00ean 520-550 USD trong<\/span> ng\u00e0y th\u1ee9 Hai (1-3), ch\u1ec9 m\u1ed9t ng\u00e0y sau khi chi\u1ebfn s\u1ef1 \u1edf Iran n\u1ed5 ra.<\/p>\n

M\u1ee9c t\u0103ng n\u00e0y ph\u1ea3n \u00e1nh t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a m\u1ed9t c\u00fa s\u1ed1c to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u l\u1edbn. Ch\u1ec9 nh\u1eefng bi\u1ebfn c\u1ed1 nghi\u00eam tr\u1ecdng v\u00e0 g\u00e2y lo ng\u1ea1i m\u1ea1nh tr\u00ean di\u1ec7n r\u1ed9ng m\u1edbi c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 khi\u1ebfn gi\u00e1 ur\u00ea t\u0103ng nhanh nh\u01b0 v\u1eady.<\/p>\n

\u1ede th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng trong n\u01b0\u1edbc, m\u1ed9t doanh nghi\u1ec7p nh\u1eadp kh\u1ea9u ph\u00e2n b\u00f3n cho bi\u1ebft kh\u00f4ng ch\u1ec9 gi\u00e1 ur\u00ea t\u0103ng so v\u1edbi tr\u01b0\u1edbc T\u1ebft m\u00e0 \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng c\u1ee7a chi\u1ebfn s\u1ef1 c\u0169ng khi\u1ebfn nh\u1eefng ng\u00e0y \u0111\u1ea7u th\u00e1ng 3, gi\u00e1 nhi\u1ec1u lo\u1ea1i ph\u00e2n b\u00f3n li\u00ean t\u1ee5c t\u0103ng m\u1ea1nh, kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng s\u1ebd c\u00f2n cao h\u01a1n.<\/p>\n

TS Ph\u00f9ng H\u00e0, Ch\u1ee7 t\u1ecbch Hi\u1ec7p h\u1ed9i Ph\u00e2n b\u00f3n Vi\u1ec7t Nam, cho r\u1eb1ng m\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ed9 \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng c\u00f2n ph\u1ee5 thu\u1ed9c l\u1edbn v\u00e0o di\u1ec5n bi\u1ebfn v\u00e0 th\u1eddi gian k\u00e9o d\u00e0i c\u1ee7a cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn.<\/p>\n

Theo TS Ph\u00f9ng H\u00e0, r\u1ee7i ro l\u1edbn nh\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ph\u00e2n b\u00f3n l\u00e0 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng gi\u00e1n \u0111o\u1ea1n v\u1eadn chuy\u1ec3n qua eo bi\u1ec3n Hormuz, tuy\u1ebfn h\u00e0ng h\u1ea3i tr\u1ecdng y\u1ebfu c\u1ee7a th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi. \u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 con \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng quan tr\u1ecdng trong v\u1eadn chuy\u1ec3n nhi\u1ec1u m\u1eb7t h\u00e0ng trong \u0111\u00f3 c\u00f3 ph\u00e2n b\u00f3n v\u00e0 nguy\u00ean li\u1ec7u \u0111\u1ea7u v\u00e0o s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t ph\u00e2n b\u00f3n. Khi eo bi\u1ec3n Hormuz b\u1ecb \u0111\u00f3ng, ngu\u1ed3n cung l\u01b0u hu\u1ef3nh v\u00e0 urea c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 b\u1ecb \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng nghi\u00eam tr\u1ecdng, \u01b0\u1edbc gi\u1ea3m l\u1ea7n l\u01b0\u1ee3t 44% v\u00e0 33% m\u1ed7i n\u0103m.<\/p>\n

Hi\u1ec7n m\u1ed7i th\u00e1ng, l\u01b0\u1ee3ng ph\u00e2n b\u00f3n v\u1eadn chuy\u1ec3n t\u1eeb khu v\u1ef1c n\u00e0y ra th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf dao \u0111\u1ed9ng t\u1eeb 3 – 3,9 tri\u1ec7u t\u1ea5n, trong \u0111\u00f3 l\u01b0u hu\u1ef3nh kho\u1ea3ng 1,5 – 1,8 tri\u1ec7u t\u1ea5n, urea t\u1eeb 1,2 – 1,5 tri\u1ec7u t\u1ea5n, c\u00f2n amoniac v\u00e0 phosphat kho\u1ea3ng 400.000 – 500.000 t\u1ea5n m\u1ed7i lo\u1ea1i. N\u1ebfu d\u00f2ng ch\u1ea3y h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a b\u1ecb gi\u00e1n \u0111o\u1ea1n, ngu\u1ed3n cung to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u s\u1ebd thu h\u1eb9p v\u00e0 vi\u1ec7c ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng tr\u1edf n\u00ean kh\u00f3 kh\u0103n h\u01a1n. \u0110\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi, chi ph\u00ed logistics nh\u01b0 gi\u00e1 container, ph\u1ee5 ph\u00ed b\u1ea3o hi\u1ec3m, nhi\u00ean li\u1ec7u v\u00e0 nh\u00e2n c\u00f4ng c\u0169ng c\u00f3 nguy c\u01a1 t\u0103ng m\u1ea1nh.<\/p>\n

Trung \u0110\u00f4ng hi\u1ec7n l\u00e0 khu v\u1ef1c xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u urea l\u1edbn nh\u1ea5t th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi, v\u1edbi s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng kho\u1ea3ng 20 tri\u1ec7u t\u1ea5n m\u1ed7i n\u0103m. Ri\u00eang Iran s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t kho\u1ea3ng 5 – 6,5 tri\u1ec7u t\u1ea5n urea\/n\u0103m. C\u00e1c nh\u00e0 s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t l\u1edbn c\u1ee7a n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0y g\u1ed3m Pardis Petrochemical, Kermanshah v\u00e0 Shiraz, v\u1edbi th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u ch\u1ee7 y\u1ebfu l\u00e0 \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9 c\u00f9ng nhi\u1ec1u qu\u1ed1c gia ch\u00e2u \u00c1 v\u00e0 ch\u00e2u Phi. B\u00ean c\u1ea1nh \u0111\u00f3, Iran \u0111\u1ee9ng th\u1ee9 s\u00e1u th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi v\u1ec1 s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t amoniac nh\u1edd s\u1edf h\u1eefu tr\u1eef l\u01b0\u1ee3ng kh\u00ed t\u1ef1 nhi\u00ean l\u1edbn th\u1ee9 hai to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u. Amoniac l\u00e0 nguy\u00ean li\u1ec7u \u0111\u1ea7u v\u00e0o \u0111\u1ec3 s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t c\u00e1c lo\u1ea1i ph\u00e2n b\u00f3n ch\u1ee9a nit\u01a1 nh\u01b0 urea, MAP, DAP<\/a>,….; trong khi l\u01b0u hu\u1ef3nh \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng \u0111\u1ec3 s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t axit sulfuric – ti\u1ec1n ch\u1ea5t cho DAP<\/span>, SSP, SOP,…<\/p>\n

TS Ph\u00f9ng H\u00e0 nh\u1eadn \u0111\u1ecbnh \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi Vi\u1ec7t Nam, ng\u00e0nh ph\u00e2n b\u00f3n ph\u1ee5 thu\u1ed9c v\u00e0o m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 nguy\u00ean li\u1ec7u nh\u1eadp kh\u1ea9u nh\u01b0 l\u01b0u hu\u1ef3nh, ammoniac\u2026 Tuy nhi\u00ean, trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ph\u00e2n b\u00f3n th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi v\u1eadn h\u00e0nh theo c\u01a1 ch\u1ebf m\u1edf, m\u1ecdi bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng v\u1ec1 gi\u00e1 c\u1ea3 v\u00e0 ngu\u1ed3n cung to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u \u0111\u1ec1u c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng nh\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ecbnh \u0111\u1ebfn th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng trong n\u01b0\u1edbc.<\/p>\n

Tr\u01b0\u1edbc t\u00ecnh h\u00ecnh \u0111\u00f3, Hi\u1ec7p h\u1ed9i Ph\u00e2n b\u00f3n Vi\u1ec7t Nam khuy\u1ebfn ngh\u1ecb c\u00e1c doanh nghi\u1ec7p c\u1ea7n ch\u1ee7 \u0111\u1ed9ng \u0111a d\u1ea1ng h\u00f3a ngu\u1ed3n cung, \u01b0u ti\u00ean b\u1ea3o \u0111\u1ea3m ngu\u1ed3n cung cho th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng n\u1ed9i \u0111\u1ecba, x\u00e2y d\u1ef1ng ph\u01b0\u01a1ng \u00e1n d\u1ef1 ph\u00f2ng trong tr\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ee3p xung \u0111\u1ed9t k\u00e9o d\u00e0i v\u00e0 gi\u00e1 c\u1ea3 leo thang, nh\u1eb1m gi\u1eef \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t v\u00e0 th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng trong n\u01b0\u1edbc.<\/p>\n

L\u00ea Th\u00fay<\/p>\n

Ng\u01b0\u1eddi Lao \u0110\u1ed9ng<\/a><\/p>\n

– 08:58 08\/03\/2026<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n