{"id":2257,"date":"2026-03-31T11:46:40","date_gmt":"2026-03-31T04:46:40","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/hoanongteva.com\/?p=2257"},"modified":"2026-03-31T11:46:40","modified_gmt":"2026-03-31T04:46:40","slug":"hiep-hoi-phan-bon-quoc-te-cu-soc-nguon-cung-hien-tai-nghiem-trong-hon-ca-nam-2022","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/hoanongteva.com\/?p=2257","title":{"rendered":"Hi\u1ec7p h\u1ed9i Ph\u00e2n b\u00f3n Qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf: C\u00fa s\u1ed1c ngu\u1ed3n cung hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i nghi\u00eam tr\u1ecdng h\u01a1n c\u1ea3 n\u0103m 2022"},"content":{"rendered":"<p> \n<\/p>\n<div itemprop=\"articleBody\" id=\"vst_detail\">\n<p class=\"pTitle\">Hi\u1ec7p h\u1ed9i Ph\u00e2n b\u00f3n Qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf: C\u00fa s\u1ed1c ngu\u1ed3n cung hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i nghi\u00eam tr\u1ecdng h\u01a1n c\u1ea3 n\u0103m 2022<\/p>\n<p class=\"pHead\">\u0110\u00f4ng Nam \u00c1 \u0111ang chu\u1ea9n b\u1ecb \u0111\u1ed1i m\u1eb7t v\u1edbi nguy c\u01a1 thi\u1ebfu h\u1ee5t ph\u00e2n b\u00f3n khi gi\u00e1 to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u t\u0103ng m\u1ea1nh do chi\u1ebfn tranh Iran, trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh ph\u1ea7n l\u1edbn khu v\u1ef1c ph\u1ee5 thu\u1ed9c v\u00e0o ngu\u1ed3n nh\u1eadp kh\u1ea9u \u0111i qua eo bi\u1ec3n Hormuz. <\/p>\n<p class=\"pBody\"><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"\" src=\"https:\/\/image.vietstock.vn\/2026\/03\/31\/gia-phan-bon-31-03.png\" style=\"width: 640px; height: 360px; border: 0px;\" align=\"center\"\/><\/p>\n<p class=\"pBody\">C\u00e1c chuy\u00ean gia v\u00e0 l\u00e3nh \u0111\u1ea1o ng\u00e0nh cho r\u1eb1ng t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ebd kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u1ed3ng \u0111\u1ec1u. Nh\u1eefng qu\u1ed1c gia c\u00f3 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng t\u1ef1 s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t nh\u01b0 Indonesia v\u00e0 Malaysia c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u00edt b\u1ecb \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng h\u01a1n, trong khi c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc nh\u01b0 Th\u00e1i Lan \u0111\u1ed1i m\u1eb7t r\u1ee7i ro l\u1edbn h\u01a1n.<\/p>\n<p class=\"pBody\">B\u00e0 Laura Cross, Gi\u00e1m \u0111\u1ed1c th\u00f4ng tin th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng t\u1ea1i Hi\u1ec7p h\u1ed9i Ph\u00e2n b\u00f3n Qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf (IFA), nh\u1eadn \u0111\u1ecbnh: \u201cNgay c\u1ea3 c\u00fa s\u1ed1c gi\u00e1n \u0111o\u1ea1n ngu\u1ed3n cung t\u1eeb Nga v\u00e0 Belarus khi chi\u1ebfn tranh Ukraine n\u1ed5 ra n\u0103m 2022 c\u0169ng kh\u00f4ng nghi\u00eam tr\u1ecdng b\u1eb1ng hi\u1ec7n nay\u201d. <\/p>\n<p class=\"pBody\">\u0110\u1ea7u th\u00e1ng n\u00e0y, t\u1edd Nikkei \u0111\u01b0a tin h\u01a1n 20 t\u00e0u ch\u1edf g\u1ea7n 1 tri\u1ec7u t\u1ea5n ph\u00e2n b\u00f3n \u0111\u00e3 b\u1ecb m\u1eafc k\u1eb9t t\u1ea1i khu v\u1ef1c V\u1ecbnh Ba T\u01b0 do eo bi\u1ec3n Hormuz g\u1ea7n nh\u01b0 b\u1ecb phong t\u1ecfa, theo d\u1eef li\u1ec7u t\u1eeb c\u00f4ng ty nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u Kpler.<\/p>\n<p class=\"pBody\">T\u00ecnh h\u00ecnh c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 c\u00f2n x\u1ea5u \u0111i. \u201cCh\u00fang ta \u0111\u00e3 th\u1ea5y t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u00ean gi\u00e1, nh\u01b0ng ch\u01b0a h\u1eb3n \u0111\u00e3 x\u1ea3y ra thi\u1ebfu h\u1ee5t th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1. \u0110\u00f3 ch\u00ednh l\u00e0 r\u1ee7i ro n\u1ebfu t\u00ecnh tr\u1ea1ng n\u00e0y k\u00e9o d\u00e0i\u201d, b\u00e0 Cross n\u00f3i.<\/p>\n<p class=\"pBody\" style=\"text-align: center;\"><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"\" src=\"https:\/\/image.vietstock.vn\/2026\/03\/31\/gia-ure.png\" style=\"width: 640px; height: 361px; border: 0px; text-align: center;\" align=\"center\"\/><\/p>\n<p class=\"pBody\">T\u00e2m \u0111i\u1ec3m c\u1ee7a cu\u1ed9c kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng l\u00e0 ur\u00ea &#8211; lo\u1ea1i ph\u00e2n cung c\u1ea5p nit\u01a1, m\u1ed9t trong ba d\u01b0\u1ee1ng ch\u1ea5t thi\u1ebft y\u1ebfu c\u00f9ng v\u1edbi ph\u1ed1t pho v\u00e0 kali. Gi\u00e1 ur\u00ea \u0111\u00e3 t\u0103ng 83% t\u1eeb \u0111\u1ea7u n\u0103m v\u00e0 t\u0103ng 50% k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb khi M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 Israel t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng Iran ng\u00e0y 28\/02, l\u00ean 717.74 USD\/t\u1ea5n, theo Fertilizerworks.com.<\/p>\n<p class=\"pBody\">Khu v\u1ef1c V\u1ecbnh Ba T\u01b0 chi\u1ebfm kho\u1ea3ng 30%\u201335% xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u ur\u00ea to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u, theo T\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c L\u01b0\u01a1ng th\u1ef1c v\u00e0 N\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p Li\u00ean H\u1ee3p Qu\u1ed1c (FAO). <\/p>\n<p class=\"pBody\">\u0110\u00e2y c\u0169ng l\u00e0 ngu\u1ed3n cung kh\u00ed t\u1ef1 nhi\u00ean quan tr\u1ecdng &#8211; nguy\u00ean li\u1ec7u chi\u1ebfm 60%-90% gi\u00e1 th\u00e0nh s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t ur\u00ea. N\u0103m 2024, kho\u1ea3ng 20% th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i kh\u00ed t\u1ef1 nhi\u00ean h\u00f3a l\u1ecfng (LNG) to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u \u0111i qua eo Hormuz, theo C\u01a1 quan Th\u00f4ng tin N\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng M\u1ef9 (EIA).<\/p>\n<p class=\"pBody\">\u0110\u00e0 t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 ur\u00ea c\u00f2n b\u1ecb khu\u1ebfch \u0111\u1ea1i b\u1edfi vi\u1ec7c Trung Qu\u1ed1c &#8211; m\u1ed9t nh\u00e0 s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t l\u1edbn &#8211; si\u1ebft ch\u1eb7t xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u ph\u00e2n b\u00f3n. <\/p>\n<p class=\"pBody\">B\u00e0 Cross cho bi\u1ebft: \u201cNit\u01a1 l\u00e0 y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 \u01b0u ti\u00ean h\u00e0ng \u0111\u1ea7u \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi n\u00f4ng d\u00e2n. H\u1ecd c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 t\u1ea1m th\u1eddi gi\u1ea3m s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng ph\u1ed1t pho ho\u1eb7c kali, nh\u01b0ng kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 b\u1ecf nit\u01a1\u201d. C\u00e1c lo\u1ea1i c\u00e2y l\u01b0\u01a1ng th\u1ef1c nh\u01b0 l\u00faa, ng\u00f4 v\u00e0 l\u00faa m\u00ec \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t c\u1ea7n nhi\u1ec1u nit\u01a1.<\/p>\n<p class=\"pBody\">T\u1ea1i \u0110\u00f4ng Nam \u00c1, Th\u00e1i Lan l\u00e0 qu\u1ed1c gia d\u1ec5 t\u1ed5n th\u01b0\u01a1ng nh\u1ea5t. <\/p>\n<p class=\"pBody\">Theo b\u00e1o c\u00e1o c\u1ee7a Krungthai Compass: \u201cN\u0103m 2025, Th\u00e1i Lan nh\u1eadp kh\u1ea9u 1.8 tri\u1ec7u t\u1ea5n nguy\u00ean li\u1ec7u nit\u01a1 t\u1eeb Trung \u0110\u00f4ng, chi\u1ebfm t\u1edbi 55% t\u1ed5ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng nh\u1eadp kh\u1ea9u\u201d.<\/p>\n<p class=\"pBody\">Ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0y cho bi\u1ebft l\u01b0\u1ee3ng d\u1ef1 tr\u1eef ph\u00e2n b\u00f3n \u0111\u1ee7 d\u00f9ng \u0111\u1ebfn th\u00e1ng 8\/2026, nh\u01b0ng sau \u0111\u00f3 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 x\u1ea3y ra thi\u1ebfu h\u1ee5t n\u1ebfu ngu\u1ed3n nh\u1eadp kh\u1ea9u kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c kh\u00f4i ph\u1ee5c. <\/p>\n<p class=\"pBody\">Ngu\u1ed3n cung n\u1ed9i \u0111\u1ecba gi\u00fap m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 qu\u1ed1c gia gi\u1ea3m b\u1edbt \u00e1p l\u1ef1c.<\/p>\n<p class=\"pBody\">Theo c\u00f4ng ty nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u BMI: \u201cIndonesia, Malaysia v\u00e0 Vi\u1ec7t Nam l\u00e0 nh\u1eefng n\u01b0\u1edbc \u00edt ch\u1ecbu r\u1ee7i ro thi\u1ebfu h\u1ee5t ph\u00e2n b\u00f3n nit\u01a1 nh\u1ea5t nh\u1edd n\u0103ng l\u1ef1c s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t n\u1ed9i \u0111\u1ecba m\u1ea1nh\u201d. <\/p>\n<p class=\"pBody\">Tuy nhi\u00ean, th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf v\u1eabn ph\u1ee9c t\u1ea1p. D\u00f9 Indonesia v\u1ec1 l\u00fd thuy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ee7 t\u1ef1 cung ur\u00ea, m\u1ed9t doanh nghi\u1ec7p trong n\u01b0\u1edbc l\u00e0 Saraswanti Anugerah Makmur cho bi\u1ebft ch\u1ec9 c\u00f2n kho\u1ea3ng 45 ng\u00e0y t\u1ed3n kho.<\/p>\n<p class=\"pBody\">Gi\u00e1m \u0111\u1ed1c Yahya Taufik c\u1ea3nh b\u00e1o: \u201c\u0110i\u1ec1u t\u00f4i lo ng\u1ea1i l\u00e0 Pupuk Indonesia s\u1ebd t\u1eadn d\u1ee5ng c\u01a1 h\u1ed9i n\u00e0y \u0111\u1ec3 t\u1ed1i \u0111a h\u00f3a l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u\u201d. \u00d4ng k\u00eau g\u1ecdi ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 \u00e1p d\u1ee5ng h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u t\u01b0\u01a1ng t\u1ef1 Trung Qu\u1ed1c. <\/p>\n<p class=\"pBody\">Trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh ngu\u1ed3n cung b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ecbnh, nguy c\u01a1 tuy\u00ean b\u1ed1 \u201cb\u1ea5t kh\u1ea3 kh\u00e1ng\u201d (force majeure) \u0111ang t\u0103ng l\u00ean.<\/p>\n<p class=\"pBody\">\u00d4ng Taufik cho bi\u1ebft: \u201cCh\u00fang t\u00f4i \u0111\u00e3 b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u trao \u0111\u1ed5i v\u1edbi kh\u00e1ch h\u00e0ng v\u1ec1 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng n\u00e0y\u201d. <\/p>\n<p class=\"pBody\">\u1ede chi\u1ec1u ng\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ea1i, \u0110\u00e0i Loan cho bi\u1ebft c\u00f3 \u0111\u1ee7 nguy\u00ean li\u1ec7u ph\u00e2n b\u00f3n cho 6\u20138 th\u00e1ng.<\/p>\n<p class=\"pBody\">Ngay c\u1ea3 nh\u1eefng n\u01b0\u1edbc c\u00f3 ngu\u1ed3n cung \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh c\u0169ng ch\u1ecbu \u00e1p l\u1ef1c chi ph\u00ed. \u00d4ng Harri Kiiski, CEO Brunei Fertilizer Industries, n\u00f3i: \u201cCh\u00fang t\u00f4i kh\u00f4ng b\u1ecb \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng v\u1ec1 ngu\u1ed3n kh\u00ed, nh\u01b0ng n\u1ebfu gi\u00e1 kh\u00ed duy tr\u00ec \u1edf m\u1ee9c cao, s\u1edbm mu\u1ed9n c\u0169ng s\u1ebd t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng \u0111\u1ebfn b\u1ea3ng c\u00e2n \u0111\u1ed1i\u201d. <\/p>\n<p class=\"pBody\">M\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ed9 \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng c\u0169ng kh\u00e1c nhau gi\u1eefa c\u00e1c ng\u00e0nh. C\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed3n \u0111i\u1ec1n d\u1ea7u c\u1ecd &#8211; chi\u1ebfm 90% kh\u00e1ch h\u00e0ng c\u1ee7a c\u00f4ng ty \u00f4ng Taufik &#8211; c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 ch\u1ed1ng ch\u1ecbu t\u1ed1t h\u01a1n nh\u1edd gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u c\u1ecd cao. Trong khi \u0111\u00f3, c\u00e1c c\u00e2y nh\u01b0 cao su, c\u00e0 ph\u00ea, \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng v\u00e0 cacao &#8211; ch\u1ee7 y\u1ebfu do h\u1ed9 n\u00f4ng d\u00e2n nh\u1ecf l\u1ebb tr\u1ed3ng &#8211; s\u1ebd ch\u1ecbu t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng n\u1eb7ng h\u01a1n.<\/p>\n<p class=\"pBody\">Kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng ngu\u1ed3n cung c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 c\u00f2n tr\u1ea7m tr\u1ecdng h\u01a1n. <\/p>\n<p class=\"pBody\">B\u00e0 Cross c\u1ea3nh b\u00e1o: \u201cC\u00e1c nh\u00e0 m\u00e1y t\u1ea1i V\u1ecbnh Ba T\u01b0 v\u1eabn ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng nh\u01b0ng kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u \u0111ang d\u1ea7n \u0111\u1ea7y kho ch\u1ee9a\u201d.<\/p>\n<p class=\"pBody\">N\u1ebfu ph\u1ea3i d\u1eebng ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng, qu\u00e1 tr\u00ecnh kh\u00f4i ph\u1ee5c s\u1ebd m\u1ea5t th\u1eddi gian ngay c\u1ea3 khi eo Hormuz m\u1edf l\u1ea1i. <\/p>\n<p class=\"pBody\">Gi\u00e1 ur\u00ea c\u0169ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c t\u0103ng, t\u1eebng v\u01b0\u1ee3t 1,000 USD\/t\u1ea5n sau khi Nga xung \u0111\u1ed9t v\u1edbi Ukraine n\u0103m 2022.<\/p>\n<p class=\"pBody\">\u00d4ng Kiiski cho r\u1eb1ng s\u1ebd c\u00f3 \u201cng\u01b0\u1ee1ng t\u00e2m l\u00fd\u201d: \u201c1,000 USD\/t\u1ea5n l\u00e0 m\u1ee9c m\u00e0 ng\u01b0\u1eddi mua kh\u00f3 ch\u1ea5p nh\u1eadn. Ngay c\u1ea3 m\u1ee9c 400 USD tr\u01b0\u1edbc kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng c\u0169ng \u0111\u00e3 l\u00e0 v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 v\u1edbi n\u00f4ng d\u00e2n\u201d. <\/p>\n<p class=\"pBody\">Tuy nhi\u00ean, gi\u00e1 gi\u1ea3m c\u0169ng kh\u00f4ng h\u1eb3n l\u00e0 tin t\u1ed1t. \u00d4ng n\u00f3i: \u201cKhi gi\u00e1 b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u gi\u1ea3m, ng\u01b0\u1eddi mua s\u1ebd tr\u00ec ho\u00e3n quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh. \u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y c\u00f2n nguy hi\u1ec3m h\u01a1n, v\u00ec ph\u00e2n b\u00f3n t\u1ed3n kho t\u0103ng trong khi vi\u1ec7c b\u00f3n tr\u1ec5 ho\u1eb7c thi\u1ebfu s\u1ebd l\u00e0m gi\u1ea3m n\u0103ng su\u1ea5t c\u00e2y tr\u1ed3ng\u201d.<\/p>\n<p class=\"pAuthor\"><a title=\"Xem th\u00eam b\u00e0i c\u00f9ng t\u00e1c gi\u1ea3\" href=\"https:\/\/vietstock.vn\/tac-gia\/vu-hao-26.htm\">V\u0169 H\u1ea1o<\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"pSource\"><a href=\"http:\/\/fili.vn\/2026\/03\/hiep-hoi-phan-bon-quoc-te-cu-soc-nguon-cung-hien-tai-nghiem-trong-hon-ca-nam-2022-118-1419310.htm\" target=\"_blank\">FILI<\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"pPublishTimeSource right\">&#8211; 10:39 31\/03\/2026<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<p><script async defer crossorigin=\"anonymous\"\n        src=\"https:\/\/connect.facebook.net\/en_US\/sdk.js#xfbml=1&#038;version=v23.0&#038;appId=1784262025098460\"\n        nonce=\"XYZ123\">\n<\/script><br \/>\n\n<br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/vietstock.vn\/2026\/03\/hiep-hoi-phan-bon-quoc-te-cu-soc-nguon-cung-hien-tai-nghiem-trong-hon-ca-nam-2022-118-1419310.htm\">ngu\u1ed3n vietstock.vn<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Hi\u1ec7p h\u1ed9i Ph\u00e2n b\u00f3n Qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf: C\u00fa s\u1ed1c ngu\u1ed3n cung hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i nghi\u00eam tr\u1ecdng h\u01a1n c\u1ea3 n\u0103m 2022 \u0110\u00f4ng Nam \u00c1 \u0111ang chu\u1ea9n b\u1ecb \u0111\u1ed1i m\u1eb7t v\u1edbi nguy c\u01a1 thi\u1ebfu h\u1ee5t ph\u00e2n b\u00f3n khi gi\u00e1 to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u t\u0103ng m\u1ea1nh do chi\u1ebfn tranh Iran, trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh ph\u1ea7n l\u1edbn khu v\u1ef1c ph\u1ee5 thu\u1ed9c v\u00e0o ngu\u1ed3n nh\u1eadp&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":2258,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[218],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2257","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tin-thuc-pham"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/hoanongteva.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2257","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/hoanongteva.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/hoanongteva.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hoanongteva.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hoanongteva.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=2257"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/hoanongteva.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2257\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hoanongteva.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/2258"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/hoanongteva.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=2257"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hoanongteva.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=2257"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hoanongteva.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=2257"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}