{"id":2360,"date":"2026-05-06T11:22:32","date_gmt":"2026-05-06T04:22:32","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/hoanongteva.com\/?p=2360"},"modified":"2026-05-06T11:22:32","modified_gmt":"2026-05-06T04:22:32","slug":"cu-soc-voi-nong-dan-viet-nam-thai-lan-va-an-do","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/hoanongteva.com\/?p=2360","title":{"rendered":"C\u00fa s\u1ed1c v\u1edbi n\u00f4ng d\u00e2n Vi\u1ec7t Nam, Th\u00e1i Lan v\u00e0 \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9"},"content":{"rendered":"

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C\u00fa s\u1ed1c v\u1edbi n\u00f4ng d\u00e2n Vi\u1ec7t Nam, Th\u00e1i Lan v\u00e0 \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9<\/p>\n

Gi\u00e1 ph\u00e2n b\u00f3n t\u0103ng m\u1ea1nh \u0111ang g\u00e2y t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng t\u1edbi v\u1ee5 m\u00f9a t\u1ea1i Nam \u00c1 v\u00e0 \u0110\u00f4ng Nam \u00c1, \u0111e d\u1ecda ngu\u1ed3n cung l\u01b0\u01a1ng th\u1ef1c khi n\u00f4ng d\u00e2n b\u01b0\u1edbc v\u00e0o m\u00f9a gieo tr\u1ed3ng. <\/p>\n <\/p>\n <\/p>\n <\/p>\n
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N\u00f4ng d\u00e2n t\u1ea1i \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9 c\u1ea5y l\u00faa tr\u00ean c\u00e1c c\u00e1nh \u0111\u1ed3ng ng\u1eadp n\u01b0\u1edbc. \u00a9 Reuters<\/p>\n

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Gi\u00e1 ph\u00e2n ur\u00ea \u0111\u00e3 t\u0103ng 18% trong th\u00e1ng 4 sau khi t\u0103ng v\u1ecdt 54% trong th\u00e1ng 3, do chi\u1ebfn tranh Iran l\u00e0m gi\u00e1n \u0111o\u1ea1n s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t v\u00e0 v\u1eadn chuy\u1ec3n t\u1ea1i Trung \u0110\u00f4ng.<\/p>\n

Gi\u00e1 ur\u00ea chu\u1ea9n qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf \u0111\u1ea1t 857 USD\/t\u1ea5n trong th\u00e1ng 4, theo d\u1eef li\u1ec7u Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi (WB), v\u01b0\u1ee3t m\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ec9nh 4 n\u0103m l\u00e0 726 USD\/t\u1ea5n ghi nh\u1eadn trong th\u00e1ng 3 v\u00e0 cao h\u01a1n g\u1ea5p \u0111\u00f4i so v\u1edbi c\u00f9ng k\u1ef3 n\u0103m tr\u01b0\u1edbc. <\/p>\n

C\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia V\u00f9ng V\u1ecbnh nh\u01b0 Qatar v\u00e0 \u1ea2-r\u1eadp X\u00ea-\u00fat chi\u1ebfm kho\u1ea3ng 30-35% xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u ur\u00ea to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u. Nhi\u1ec1u c\u01a1 s\u1edf s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t b\u1ecb h\u01b0 h\u1ea1i do c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng c\u1ee7a Iran, trong khi v\u1eadn chuy\u1ec3n b\u1ecb \u0111\u00ecnh tr\u1ec7 do eo bi\u1ec3n Hormuz g\u1ea7n nh\u01b0 \u0111\u00f3ng c\u1eeda.<\/p>\n

C\u00e1c n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf ch\u00e2u \u00c1 – v\u1eeba l\u00e0 nh\u00e0 s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t v\u1eeba l\u00e0 ng\u01b0\u1eddi ti\u00eau th\u1ee5 g\u1ea1o l\u1edbn – \u0111ang ch\u1ecbu t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng tr\u1ef1c ti\u1ebfp t\u1eeb c\u00fa s\u1ed1c chi ph\u00ed n\u00e0y. Tr\u1ed3ng l\u00faa c\u1ea7n nhi\u1ec1u ph\u00e2n b\u00f3n, \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t ph\u1ee5 thu\u1ed9c v\u00e0o ph\u00e2n \u0111\u1ea1m nh\u01b0 ur\u00ea \u0111\u1ec3 th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y sinh tr\u01b0\u1edfng. <\/p>\n

\u201cCh\u00e2u \u00c1 l\u00e0 khu v\u1ef1c ch\u1ecbu \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng l\u1edbn nh\u1ea5t t\u1eeb ngu\u1ed3n cung n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng v\u00e0 ph\u00e2n b\u00f3n Trung \u0110\u00f4ng\u201d, \u00f4ng Dawit Mekonnen, Chuy\u00ean gia kinh t\u1ebf cao c\u1ea5p t\u1ea1i Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi, cho bi\u1ebft. \u201cN\u1ebfu eo bi\u1ec3n Hormuz ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c b\u1ecb \u0111\u00f3ng sau th\u00e1ng 6, nhi\u1ec1u qu\u1ed1c gia c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ed1i m\u1eb7t thi\u1ebfu h\u1ee5t \u0111\u1ea7u v\u00e0o s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t\u201d.<\/p>\n <\/p>\n <\/p>\n <\/p>\n
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Di\u1ec5n bi\u1ebfn gi\u00e1 ph\u00e2n ur\u00ea<\/span><\/p>\n


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S\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t l\u01b0u hu\u1ef3nh – nguy\u00ean li\u1ec7u cho ph\u00e2n l\u00e2n – c\u0169ng ph\u1ee5 thu\u1ed9c v\u00e0o c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc V\u00f9ng V\u1ecbnh. <\/p>\n

Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o gi\u00e1 ph\u00e2n b\u00f3n s\u1ebd t\u0103ng 31% trong n\u0103m 2026, trong \u0111\u00f3 gi\u00e1 ur\u00ea t\u0103ng kho\u1ea3ng 60%.<\/p>\n

Gi\u00e1 ph\u00e2n b\u00f3n cao \u0111\u1ed3ng ngh\u0129a chi ph\u00ed canh t\u00e1c t\u0103ng. T\u1ea1i c\u00e1c n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf m\u1edbi n\u1ed5i, n\u01a1i kh\u00f3 chuy\u1ec3n chi ph\u00ed sang gi\u00e1 l\u01b0\u01a1ng th\u1ef1c, n\u00f4ng d\u00e2n th\u01b0\u1eddng c\u1eaft gi\u1ea3m s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng ph\u00e2n b\u00f3n, \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 l\u00e0m gi\u1ea3m n\u0103ng su\u1ea5t. <\/p>\n

Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o gi\u00e1 l\u01b0\u01a1ng th\u1ef1c ch\u1ec9 t\u0103ng 2% trong n\u0103m 2026, nh\u1edd ngu\u1ed3n cung ng\u0169 c\u1ed1c to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u d\u1ed3i d\u00e0o \u1edf th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m \u0111\u1ea7u c\u00fa s\u1ed1c.<\/p>\n

T\u1ea1i Nam \u00c1 v\u00e0 \u0110\u00f4ng Nam \u00c1, m\u00f9a m\u01b0a \u0111\u00e1nh d\u1ea5u giai \u0111o\u1ea1n cao \u0111i\u1ec3m c\u1ee7a chu k\u1ef3 tr\u1ed3ng l\u00faa. C\u00e1c gi\u1ed1ng g\u1ea1o h\u1ea1t d\u00e0i nh\u01b0 indica v\u00e0 jasmine – \u01b0a kh\u00ed h\u1eadu n\u00f3ng \u1ea9m – chi\u1ebfm kho\u1ea3ng 90% l\u01b0\u1ee3ng g\u1ea1o giao d\u1ecbch to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u. <\/p>\n

N\u00f4ng d\u00e2n t\u1ea1i \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9, Vi\u1ec7t Nam v\u00e0 Th\u00e1i Lan th\u01b0\u1eddng b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u gieo tr\u1ed3ng t\u1eeb th\u00e1ng 5 \u0111\u1ebfn th\u00e1ng 8.<\/p>\n

T\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng kh\u00f4ng ch\u1ec9 d\u1eebng \u1edf ph\u00e2n b\u00f3n. Gi\u00e1 c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ea7u v\u00e0o n\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p v\u00e0 chi ph\u00ed v\u1eadn chuy\u1ec3n t\u0103ng m\u1ea1nh c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 khi\u1ebfn chi ph\u00ed s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t t\u0103ng th\u00eam 50-80%. <\/p>\n

\u201cVi\u1ec7c \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh \u0111\u00e3 b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u t\u1eeb Punjab \u0111\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed3ng b\u1eb1ng s\u00f4ng Mekong\u201d, \u00f4ng Maximo Torero, kinh t\u1ebf tr\u01b0\u1edfng FAO, cho bi\u1ebft. \u201cVi\u1ec7t Nam – n\u01b0\u1edbc xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u g\u1ea1o l\u1edbn th\u1ee9 hai th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi – \u0111ang c\u1eaft gi\u1ea3m s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng do chi ph\u00ed n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng l\u00e0m thu h\u1eb9p bi\u00ean l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn. Th\u00e1i Lan v\u00e0 Bangladesh c\u0169ng ch\u1ecbu \u00e1p l\u1ef1c t\u01b0\u01a1ng t\u1ef1\u201d.<\/p>\n

\u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9 l\u00e0 qu\u1ed1c gia s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t v\u00e0 xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u g\u1ea1o l\u1edbn nh\u1ea5t th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi, v\u1edbi s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng kho\u1ea3ng 150 tri\u1ec7u t\u1ea5n m\u1ed7i n\u0103m, nh\u01b0ng d\u1ec5 t\u1ed5n th\u01b0\u01a1ng do ph\u1ee5 thu\u1ed9c v\u00e0o ph\u00e2n b\u00f3n nh\u1eadp kh\u1ea9u, trong \u0111\u00f3 kho\u1ea3ng 40% \u0111\u1ebfn t\u1eeb c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc V\u00f9ng V\u1ecbnh. <\/p>\n

X\u1ee9 s\u1edf c\u00e0 ri xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u kho\u1ea3ng 23 tri\u1ec7u t\u1ea5n g\u1ea1o trong ni\u00ean v\u1ee5 2024-2025, t\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u01b0\u01a1ng 15% s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng. Tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00f3, n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0y t\u1eebng h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u do lo ng\u1ea1i s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng gi\u1ea3m.<\/p>\n

Kh\u00f4ng qu\u1ed1c gia n\u00e0o c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 thay th\u1ebf vai tr\u00f2 cung \u1ee9ng c\u1ee7a \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9. Ngay c\u1ea3 Trung Qu\u1ed1c v\u00e0 Indonesia – c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t l\u1edbn – v\u1eabn ph\u1ea3i nh\u1eadp kh\u1ea9u g\u1ea1o. Trong khi \u0111\u00f3, xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u g\u1ea1o to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf h\u01a1n nhi\u1ec1u so v\u1edbi l\u00faa m\u00ec hay ng\u00f4. Vi\u1ec7t Nam, Th\u00e1i Lan v\u00e0 Pakistan m\u1ed7i n\u01b0\u1edbc ch\u1ec9 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u kho\u1ea3ng 5-8 tri\u1ec7u t\u1ea5n. <\/p>\n

Philippines v\u00e0 nhi\u1ec1u qu\u1ed1c gia ch\u00e2u Phi c\u1eadn Sahara ph\u1ee5 thu\u1ed9c l\u1edbn v\u00e0o nh\u1eadp kh\u1ea9u g\u1ea1o. C\u00e0ng k\u00e9o d\u00e0i t\u00ecnh tr\u1ea1ng gi\u00e1n \u0111o\u1ea1n t\u1ea1i eo bi\u1ec3n Hormuz, nguy c\u01a1 kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng l\u01b0\u01a1ng th\u1ef1c c\u00e0ng gia t\u0103ng.<\/p>\n

V\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0110\u00f4ng<\/a><\/p>\n

FILI<\/a><\/p>\n

– 10:02 06\/05\/2026<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n