{"id":2426,"date":"2026-05-24T10:34:05","date_gmt":"2026-05-24T03:34:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/hoanongteva.com\/?p=2426"},"modified":"2026-05-24T10:34:05","modified_gmt":"2026-05-24T03:34:05","slug":"el-nino-va-rui-ro-nguon-cung-chi-phoi-gia-nong-san-the-gioi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/hoanongteva.com\/?p=2426","title":{"rendered":"El Nino v\u00e0 r\u1ee7i ro ngu\u1ed3n cung chi ph\u1ed1i gi\u00e1 n\u00f4ng s\u1ea3n th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi"},"content":{"rendered":"

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El Nino v\u00e0 r\u1ee7i ro ngu\u1ed3n cung chi ph\u1ed1i gi\u00e1 n\u00f4ng s\u1ea3n th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi<\/p>\n

Gi\u00e1 g\u1ea1o xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u t\u1ea1i ch\u00e2u \u00c1 ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c leo thang trong phi\u00ean giao d\u1ecbch 22\/5, trong \u0111\u00f3 g\u1ea1o 5% t\u1ea5m c\u1ee7a Vi\u1ec7t Nam \u1edf m\u1ee9c kho\u1ea3ng 410-415 USD\/t\u1ea5n, c\u00f2n gi\u00e1 g\u1ea1o Th\u00e1i Lan dao \u0111\u1ed9ng t\u1eeb 440-465 USD\/t\u1ea5n.<\/p>\n <\/p>\n <\/p>\n <\/p>\n
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\u1ea2nh minh h\u1ecda – Ngu\u1ed3n: TTXVN<\/p>\n

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Th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng g\u1ea1o ch\u00e2u \u00c1<\/p>\n

Ngu\u1ed3n cung th\u1eaft ch\u1eb7t t\u1ea1i Th\u00e1i Lan v\u00e0 m\u1ed9t v\u00e0i n\u01b0\u1edbc kh\u00e1c, c\u00f9ng nguy c\u01a1 El Ni\u00f1o v\u00e0 thi\u1ec7t h\u1ea1i do m\u01b0a l\u1edbn t\u1ea1i Bangladesh, \u0111ang \u0111\u1ea9y gi\u00e1 g\u1ea1o xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u t\u1ea1i ch\u00e2u \u00c1 t\u0103ng l\u00ean, d\u00f9 \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9 v\u1eabn l\u00e0 ngu\u1ed3n cung c\u00f3 gi\u00e1 r\u1ebb nh\u1ea5t th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng.<\/p>\n

Gi\u00e1 g\u1ea1o xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u t\u1ea1i ch\u00e2u \u00c1 ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c leo thang trong phi\u00ean giao d\u1ecbch 22\/5, trong \u0111\u00f3 g\u1ea1o 5% t\u1ea5m c\u1ee7a Vi\u1ec7t Nam \u1edf m\u1ee9c kho\u1ea3ng 410-415 USD\/t\u1ea5n, c\u00f2n gi\u00e1 g\u1ea1o Th\u00e1i Lan dao \u0111\u1ed9ng t\u1eeb 440-465 USD\/t\u1ea5n.<\/p>\n

Trong khi \u0111\u00f3, m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 kh\u00e1ch h\u00e0ng \u0111\u00e3 chuy\u1ec3n \u0111\u01a1n h\u00e0ng m\u1edbi sang mua g\u1ea1o \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9 do m\u1ee9c gi\u00e1 th\u1ea5p h\u01a1n \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3, ch\u1ec9 kho\u1ea3ng 336-343 USD\/t\u1ea5n.<\/p>\n

Kho\u1ea3ng c\u00e1ch gi\u00e1 ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng l\u1edbn \u0111ang l\u00e0m thay \u0111\u1ed5i d\u00f2ng ch\u1ea3y th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i g\u1ea1o to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u. G\u1ea1o \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9 v\u1eabn l\u00e0 ngu\u1ed3n cung c\u00f3 gi\u00e1 c\u1ea1nh tranh nh\u1ea5t, v\u00ec v\u1eady ngay c\u1ea3 khi gi\u00e1 t\u0103ng nh\u1eb9, nhi\u1ec1u qu\u1ed1c gia nh\u1eadp kh\u1ea9u nh\u1ea1y c\u1ea3m v\u1ec1 gi\u00e1 v\u1eabn \u01b0u ti\u00ean l\u1ef1a ch\u1ecdn.<\/p>\n

T\u1ea1i Th\u00e1i Lan v\u00e0 Vi\u1ec7t Nam, gi\u1edbi th\u01b0\u01a1ng nh\u00e2n cho bi\u1ebft gi\u00e1 t\u0103ng kh\u00f4ng ch\u1ec9 do l\u1ef1c mua tr\u00ean th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng m\u1ea1nh l\u00ean m\u00e0 c\u00f2n v\u00ec ngu\u1ed3n cung \u0111ang b\u1ecb thu h\u1eb9p. C\u00e1c nh\u00e0 xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u Th\u00e1i Lan ph\u1ea3i mua g\u1ea1o v\u1edbi gi\u00e1 cao tr\u00ean th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng giao ngay \u0111\u1ec3 th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n nh\u1eefng h\u1ee3p \u0111\u1ed3ng \u0111\u00e3 k\u00fd v\u00e0 b\u1ea3o \u0111\u1ea3m giao h\u00e0ng \u0111\u00fang h\u1ea1n.<\/p>\n

Trong khi \u0111\u00f3, Vi\u1ec7t Nam c\u0169ng \u0111ang ch\u1ed1t tr\u01b0\u1edbc nhi\u1ec1u h\u1ee3p \u0111\u1ed3ng giao h\u00e0ng trong t\u01b0\u01a1ng lai, bao g\u1ed3m th\u1ecfa thu\u1eadn xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u g\u1ea1o sang Philippines \u0111\u1ebfn h\u1ebft th\u00e1ng 4\/2027. \u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y khi\u1ebfn ngu\u1ed3n cung tr\u00ean th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng c\u00e0ng tr\u1edf n\u00ean khan hi\u1ebfm h\u01a1n.<\/p>\n

R\u1ee7i ro th\u1eddi ti\u1ebft c\u0169ng \u0111ang khi\u1ebfn th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng th\u00eam lo ng\u1ea1i. Trung t\u00e2m D\u1ef1 b\u00e1o Kh\u00ed h\u1eadu M\u1ef9 nh\u1eadn \u0111\u1ecbnh kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng El Ni\u00f1o h\u00ecnh th\u00e0nh trong giai \u0111o\u1ea1n t\u1eeb th\u00e1ng 5 \u0111\u1ebfn th\u00e1ng 7\/2026 l\u00ean t\u1edbi 82%.<\/p>\n

C\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch Th\u00e1i Lan lo ng\u1ea1i hi\u1ec7n t\u01b0\u1ee3ng n\u00e0y c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 l\u00e0m gi\u1ea3m s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng v\u1ee5 m\u00f9a ti\u1ebfp theo. Ngo\u00e0i ra, Bangladesh g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y c\u0169ng b\u00e1o c\u00e1o thi\u1ec7t h\u1ea1i l\u1edbn do m\u01b0a tr\u01b0\u1edbc m\u00f9a gi\u00f3 m\u00f9a, cho th\u1ea5y c\u00e1c c\u00fa s\u1ed1c ngu\u1ed3n cung trong khu v\u1ef1c c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 nhanh ch\u00f3ng \u0111\u1ea9y gi\u00e1 g\u1ea1o t\u0103ng m\u1ea1nh.<\/p>\n

\u0110\u00e0 t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 t\u1ea1i Th\u00e1i Lan kh\u00f4ng ho\u00e0n to\u00e0n ph\u1ea3n \u00e1nh nhu c\u1ea7u mua m\u1edbi b\u00f9ng n\u1ed5. Khi c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u \u0111\u00e3 k\u00fd h\u1ee3p \u0111\u1ed3ng v\u1edbi m\u1ee9c gi\u00e1 c\u1ed1 \u0111\u1ecbnh tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00f3, h\u1ecd v\u1eabn bu\u1ed9c ph\u1ea3i mua g\u1ea1o \u0111\u1ec3 giao h\u00e0ng ngay c\u1ea3 khi gi\u00e1 th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng t\u0103ng cao.<\/p>\n

\u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y khi\u1ebfn gi\u00e1 xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u duy tr\u00ec \u1edf m\u1ee9c cao v\u00e0 bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng m\u1ea1nh h\u01a1n, trong l\u00fac c\u00e1c kh\u00e1ch h\u00e0ng m\u1edbi c\u00f3 xu h\u01b0\u1edbng chuy\u1ec3n sang ngu\u1ed3n cung r\u1ebb h\u01a1n t\u1eeb \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9.<\/p>\n

Khi lo ng\u1ea1i s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 gi\u1ea3m, nhi\u1ec1u nh\u00e0 nh\u1eadp kh\u1ea9u th\u01b0\u1eddng t\u0103ng mua d\u1ef1 tr\u1eef s\u1edbm. V\u1edbi nguy c\u01a1 El Ni\u00f1o gia t\u0103ng v\u00e0 v\u1ee5 thu ho\u1ea1ch m\u1edbi c\u1ee7a Th\u00e1i Lan \u0111ang \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c theo d\u00f5i s\u00e1t sao, c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 nh\u1eadp kh\u1ea9u v\u00e0 nh\u00e0 b\u00e1n bu\u00f4n c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 t\u00edch tr\u1eef h\u00e0ng \u0111\u1ec3 ph\u00f2ng tr\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ee3p x\u1ea5u.<\/p>\n

\u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 khi\u1ebfn gi\u00e1 g\u1ea1o t\u1ea1i c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc nh\u1eadp kh\u1ea9u bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng kh\u00f3 l\u01b0\u1eddng, ngay c\u1ea3 khi ch\u01b0a xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n t\u00ecnh tr\u1ea1ng thi\u1ebfu h\u1ee5t th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1.<\/p>\n

Theo b\u00e1o c\u00e1o Tri\u1ec3n v\u1ecdng g\u1ea1o do B\u1ed9 N\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p M\u1ef9 (USDA) c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1 \u0111\u1ea7u th\u00e1ng 5\/2026, s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng g\u1ea1o to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u ni\u00ean v\u1ee5 2026\/27 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o \u0111\u1ea1t 537,8 tri\u1ec7u t\u1ea5n g\u1ea1o xay x\u00e1t, gi\u1ea3m 5 tri\u1ec7u t\u1ea5n so v\u1edbi n\u0103m tr\u01b0\u1edbc.<\/p>\n

\u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9 d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c l\u00e0 n\u01b0\u1edbc s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t g\u1ea1o l\u1edbn nh\u1ea5t th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi, v\u01b0\u1ee3t Trung Qu\u1ed1c n\u0103m th\u1ee9 ba li\u00ean ti\u1ebfp. Trong khi \u0111\u00f3, th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i g\u1ea1o to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c l\u1eadp k\u1ef7 l\u1ee5c m\u1edbi trong n\u0103m 2027.<\/p>\n

Xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u g\u1ea1o th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi trong n\u0103m d\u01b0\u01a1ng l\u1ecbch 2027 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o t\u0103ng th\u00eam 1,8 tri\u1ec7u t\u1ea5n l\u00ean 63,1 tri\u1ec7u t\u1ea5n, m\u1ee9c cao nh\u1ea5t t\u1eeb tr\u01b0\u1edbc t\u1edbi nay v\u00e0 l\u00e0 n\u0103m t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng th\u1ee9 ba li\u00ean ti\u1ebfp.<\/p>\n

\u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c l\u00e0 n\u01b0\u1edbc xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u g\u1ea1o l\u1edbn nh\u1ea5t th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi v\u1edbi 25 tri\u1ec7u t\u1ea5n, t\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u01b0\u01a1ng kho\u1ea3ng 40% th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i g\u1ea1o to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u, nh\u1edd ngu\u1ed3n cung d\u1ed3i d\u00e0o v\u00e0 gi\u00e1 c\u1ea1nh tranh.<\/p>\n

Vi\u1ec7t Nam v\u00e0 Th\u00e1i Lan, hai n\u01b0\u1edbc xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u g\u1ea1o h\u00e0ng \u0111\u1ea7u th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi, c\u0169ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o t\u0103ng xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u nh\u1edd nhu c\u1ea7u m\u1ea1nh h\u01a1n t\u1eeb c\u00e1c th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ch\u1ee7 ch\u1ed1t t\u1ea1i ch\u00e2u Phi v\u00e0 \u0110\u00f4ng Nam \u00c1.<\/p>\n

M\u1eb7t kh\u00e1c, nh\u1eadp kh\u1ea9u g\u1ea1o to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u n\u0103m 2027 c\u0169ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o t\u0103ng th\u00eam 1,7 tri\u1ec7u t\u1ea5n l\u00ean m\u1ee9c k\u1ef7 l\u1ee5c 60,2 tri\u1ec7u t\u1ea5n, \u0111\u00e1nh d\u1ea5u n\u0103m t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng th\u1ee9 ba li\u00ean ti\u1ebfp. \u0110\u1ed9ng l\u1ef1c ch\u00ednh \u0111\u1ebfn t\u1eeb nhu c\u1ea7u gia t\u0103ng t\u1ea1i ch\u00e2u Phi v\u00e0 \u0110\u00f4ng Nam \u00c1.<\/p>\n

Bangladesh \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o s\u1ebd ghi nh\u1eadn m\u1ee9c t\u0103ng nh\u1eadp kh\u1ea9u l\u1edbn nh\u1ea5t so v\u1edbi c\u00f9ng k\u1ef3 n\u0103m tr\u01b0\u1edbc, ch\u1ee7 y\u1ebfu do s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng g\u1ea1o trong n\u01b0\u1edbc suy gi\u1ea3m.<\/p>\n

Philippines, n\u01b0\u1edbc nh\u1eadp kh\u1ea9u g\u1ea1o h\u00e0ng \u0111\u1ea7u th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi, \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c n\u00e2ng m\u1ee9c nh\u1eadp kh\u1ea9u l\u00ean m\u1ee9c k\u1ef7 l\u1ee5c m\u1edbi nh\u1edd d\u00e2n s\u1ed1 t\u0103ng v\u00e0 vai tr\u00f2 thi\u1ebft y\u1ebfu c\u1ee7a g\u1ea1o trong ti\u00eau d\u00f9ng h\u00e0ng ng\u00e0y.<\/p>\n

Th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng n\u00f4ng s\u1ea3n M\u1ef9<\/p>\n

Gi\u00e1 ng\u0169 c\u1ed1c v\u00e0 h\u1ea1t c\u00f3 d\u1ea7u tr\u00ean s\u00e0n giao d\u1ecbch Chicago (M\u1ef9) gi\u1ea3m trong phi\u00ean giao d\u1ecbch ng\u00e0y 21\/5, khi th\u1eddi ti\u1ebft thu\u1eadn l\u1ee3i t\u1ea1i khu v\u1ef1c Trung T\u00e2y c\u1ee7a n\u01b0\u1edbc M\u1ef9 h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 qu\u00e1 tr\u00ecnh n\u1ea3y m\u1ea7m s\u1edbm v\u00e0 c\u1ea3i thi\u1ec7n tri\u1ec3n v\u1ecdng n\u0103ng su\u1ea5t c\u00e2y tr\u1ed3ng.<\/p>\n

C\u1ee5 th\u1ec3, cu\u1ed1i phi\u00ean n\u00e0y, gi\u00e1 ng\u00f4 giao k\u1ef3 h\u1ea1n tr\u00ean S\u00e0n Giao d\u1ecbch Chicago (CBOT) gi\u1ea3m 0,4% xu\u1ed1ng c\u00f2n 4,63-3\/4 USD\/bushel. Gi\u00e1 \u0111\u1eadu t\u01b0\u01a1ng gi\u1ea3m 0,2% xu\u1ed1ng 11,97 USD\/bushel, trong khi gi\u00e1 l\u00faa m\u00ec gi\u1ea3m 0,8% xu\u1ed1ng 6,55 USD\/bushel (1 bushel l\u00faa m\u1ef3\/\u0111\u1eadu t\u01b0\u01a1ng = 27,2 kg; 1 bushel ng\u00f4 = 25,4 kg).<\/p>\n

C\u00f4ng ty d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o th\u1eddi ti\u1ebft Vaisala cho bi\u1ebft c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ee3t m\u01b0a g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y \u0111\u00e3 c\u1ea3i thi\u1ec7n \u0111\u1ed9 \u1ea9m \u0111\u1ea5t t\u1ea1i v\u00f9ng Trung T\u00e2y n\u01b0\u1edbc M\u1ef9, t\u1ea1o \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n thu\u1eadn l\u1ee3i cho c\u00e2y tr\u1ed3ng n\u1ea3y m\u1ea7m \u1edf giai \u0111o\u1ea1n \u0111\u1ea7u.<\/p>\n

C\u00f4ng ty n\u00e0y c\u0169ng nh\u1eadn \u0111\u1ecbnh nhi\u1ec7t \u0111\u1ed9 cao h\u01a1n m\u1ee9c b\u00ecnh th\u01b0\u1eddng t\u1ea1i khu v\u1ef1c ph\u00eda B\u1eafc v\u00e0 Trung T\u00e2y n\u01b0\u1edbc M\u1ef9 trong tu\u1ea7n t\u1edbi s\u1ebd th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y c\u00e2y tr\u1ed3ng ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n nhanh h\u01a1n.<\/p>\n

Tuy nhi\u00ean, theo \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 c\u1ee7a BMI<\/a> Consultancy thu\u1ed9c t\u1eadp \u0111o\u00e0n Fitch, tr\u00ean ph\u1ea1m vi to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u, r\u1ee7i ro kh\u00ed h\u1eadu \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t ng\u0169 c\u1ed1c v\u1eabn \u1edf m\u1ee9c cao khi kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n hi\u1ec7n t\u01b0\u1ee3ng El Ni\u00f1o t\u1eeb gi\u1eefa n\u0103m 2026 ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng l\u1edbn.<\/p>\n

Trong m\u1ed9t b\u00e1o c\u00e1o, BMI<\/span> Consultancy nh\u1eadn \u0111\u1ecbnh ng\u00e0nh s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t l\u00faa m\u00ec c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t trong nh\u1eefng th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ch\u1ecbu t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng m\u1ea1nh nh\u1ea5t n\u1ebfu El Ni\u00f1o x\u1ea3y ra. R\u1ee7i ro \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t l\u1edbn do l\u1ecbch m\u00f9a v\u1ee5 c\u1ee7a nhi\u1ec1u n\u01b0\u1edbc s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t l\u1edbn nh\u01b0 \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9, Pakistan, Australia, Trung Qu\u1ed1c v\u00e0 Argentina di\u1ec5n ra tr\u00f9ng th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m.<\/p>\n

BMI<\/span> Consultancy cho r\u1eb1ng s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng ng\u00f4 to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u s\u1ebd \u00edt ch\u1ecbu t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng h\u01a1n trong tr\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ee3p El Ni\u00f1o xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n, trong khi l\u01b0\u1ee3ng m\u01b0a gia t\u0103ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t \u0111\u1eadu t\u01b0\u01a1ng t\u1ea1i Nam M\u1ef9.<\/p>\n

T\u1ea1i Trung Qu\u1ed1c, nh\u1eadp kh\u1ea9u \u0111\u1eadu t\u01b0\u01a1ng t\u1eeb M\u1ef9 trong th\u00e1ng 4\/2026 \u0111\u00e3 t\u0103ng h\u01a1n g\u1ea5p \u0111\u00f4i so v\u1edbi c\u00f9ng k\u1ef3 n\u0103m tr\u01b0\u1edbc, khi c\u00e1c l\u00f4 h\u00e0ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c k\u00fd mua sau khi Trung Qu\u1ed1c n\u1ed1i l\u1ea1i ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng nh\u1eadp kh\u1ea9u v\u00e0o cu\u1ed1i n\u0103m ngo\u00e1i b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u c\u1eadp c\u1ea3ng Trung Qu\u1ed1c. Trung Qu\u1ed1c hi\u1ec7n l\u00e0 qu\u1ed1c gia nh\u1eadp kh\u1ea9u \u0111\u1eadu t\u01b0\u01a1ng l\u1edbn nh\u1ea5t th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi.<\/p>\n <\/p>\n <\/p>\n <\/p>\n
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\u1ea2nh minh h\u1ecda – \u1ea2nh: Tu\u1ea5n Anh\/TTXVN<\/p>\n

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Th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng c\u00e0 ph\u00ea th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi<\/p>\n

Gi\u00e1 c\u00e0 ph\u00ea th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi di\u1ec5n bi\u1ebfn tr\u00e1i chi\u1ec1u phi\u00ean 23\/5, trong \u0111\u00f3, gi\u00e1 c\u00e0 ph\u00ea robusta t\u0103ng m\u1ea1nh gi\u1eefa b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh th\u1eddi ti\u1ebft kh\u00f4 h\u1ea1n \u1edf Vi\u1ec7t Nam, l\u00e0m d\u1ea5y l\u00ean lo ng\u1ea1i v\u1ec1 v\u1ee5 m\u00f9a c\u00e0 ph\u00ea robusta.<\/p>\n

Cu\u1ed1i phi\u00ean n\u00e0y, tr\u00ean s\u00e0n giao d\u1ecbch h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a London (ICE), gi\u00e1 c\u00e0 ph\u00ea robusta k\u1ef3 h\u1ea1n giao th\u00e1ng 7\/2026 t\u0103ng t\u1edbi 57 USD (t\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u01b0\u01a1ng 1,68%), \u0111\u00f3ng c\u1eeda t\u1ea1i m\u1ee9c 3.456 USD\/t\u1ea5n. Ng\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ea1i, t\u1ea1i s\u00e0n New York (M\u1ef9), gi\u00e1 c\u00e0 ph\u00ea arabica k\u1ef3 h\u1ea1n giao th\u00e1ng 7\/2026 gi\u1ea3m 1,05 xu M\u1ef9 (t\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u01b0\u01a1ng 0,38%), v\u1ec1 m\u1ee9c 272,35 xu\/lb (1 lb = 0,4535 kg).<\/p>\n

Vi\u1ec7c gi\u00e1 c\u00e0 ph\u00ea robusta l\u1ed9i ng\u01b0\u1ee3c d\u00f2ng b\u1ee9t t\u1ed1c tr\u00ean 1,5% ph\u1ea3n \u00e1nh r\u00f5 n\u00e9t t\u00e2m l\u00fd lo ng\u1ea1i c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 v\u1ec1 t\u00ecnh h\u00ecnh ngu\u1ed3n cung. T\u1ea1i Vi\u1ec7t Nam, c\u01a1 quan d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o th\u1eddi ti\u1ebft d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o r\u1eb1ng c\u00e1c tr\u1eadn m\u01b0a g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y t\u1ea1i v\u00f9ng tr\u1ed3ng tr\u1ecdng \u0111i\u1ec3m T\u00e2y Nguy\u00ean kh\u00e1 \u00edt v\u00e0 r\u1ea3i r\u00e1c.<\/p>\n

Vi\u1ec7c thi\u1ebfu h\u1ee5t l\u01b0\u1ee3ng m\u01b0a trong giai \u0111o\u1ea1n c\u00e2y c\u00e0 ph\u00ea \u0111ang nu\u00f4i tr\u00e1i non \u0111\u00e3 d\u1ea5y l\u00ean m\u1ed1i lo ng\u1ea1i l\u1edbn v\u1ec1 s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng thu ho\u1ea1ch cu\u1ed1i n\u0103m, bu\u1ed9c c\u00e1c qu\u1ef9 \u0111\u1ea7u c\u01a1 ph\u1ea3i \u0111\u1ea9y m\u1ea1nh mua v\u00e0o \u0111\u1ec3 ph\u00f2ng th\u1ee7.<\/p>\n

B\u00ean c\u1ea1nh \u0111\u00f3, th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng c\u0169ng nh\u1eadn \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ef1c \u0111\u1ee1 t\u1eeb c\u1ea3nh b\u00e1o c\u1ee7a C\u01a1 quan Qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd Kh\u00ed quy\u1ec3n v\u00e0 \u0110\u1ea1i d\u01b0\u01a1ng Qu\u1ed1c gia M\u1ef9 (NOAA) v\u1ec1 82% kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng hi\u1ec7n t\u01b0\u1ee3ng El Ni\u00f1o xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n v\u00e0 67% x\u00e1c su\u1ea5t bi\u1ebfn th\u00e0nh “Si\u00eau El Ni\u00f1o”, c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 l\u00e0m tr\u00ec ho\u00e3n m\u00f9a m\u01b0a v\u00e0 g\u00e2y \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng \u0111\u1ebfn qu\u00e1 tr\u00ecnh ra hoa c\u1ee7a ni\u00ean v\u1ee5 t\u1edbi t\u1ea1i Brazil. Trong khi \u0111\u00f3, t\u00ecnh tr\u1ea1ng \u00e1ch t\u1eafc v\u1eadn t\u1ea3i qua eo bi\u1ec3n Hormuz c\u0169ng g\u00f3p ph\u1ea7n n\u00e2ng \u0111\u1ee1 gi\u00e1 c\u1ea3.<\/p>\n

Tuy nhi\u00ean, \u0111\u00e0 b\u1ee9t ph\u00e1 c\u1ee7a gi\u00e1 c\u00e0 ph\u00ea robusta v\u1eabn b\u1ecb h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3 b\u1edfi \u00e1p l\u1ef1c t\u1eeb v\u1ee5 thu ho\u1ea1ch m\u1edbi \u0111ang di\u1ec5n ra thu\u1eadn l\u1ee3i t\u1ea1i Nam M\u1ef9. C\u00e1c t\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c uy t\u00edn nh\u01b0 StoneX v\u00e0 Marex Group Plc li\u00ean t\u1ee5c b\u1ea3o l\u01b0u d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o v\u1ec1 m\u1ed9t ni\u00ean v\u1ee5 si\u00eau th\u1eb7ng d\u01b0 to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u l\u00ean t\u1edbi 10 tri\u1ec7u bao trong n\u0103m 2026 nh\u1edd s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng k\u1ef7 l\u1ee5c d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ea1t 75,9 tri\u1ec7u bao c\u1ee7a Brazil.<\/p>\n

T\u1ed3n kho c\u00e0 ph\u00ea arabica \u0111\u1ea1t chu\u1ea9n tr\u00ean s\u00e0n ICE ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c gi\u1ea3m xu\u1ed1ng c\u00f2n kho\u1ea3ng 451.225 bao – m\u1ee9c th\u1ea5p nh\u1ea5t trong 3 th\u00e1ng g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y.<\/p>\n

Gi\u1edbi ph\u00e2n t\u00edch cho r\u1eb1ng vi\u1ec7c t\u1ed3n kho duy tr\u00ec th\u1ea5p trong th\u1eddi gian d\u00e0i \u0111ang khi\u1ebfn th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng c\u00e0 ph\u00ea tr\u1edf n\u00ean nh\u1ea1y c\u1ea3m h\u01a1n v\u1edbi c\u00e1c r\u1ee7i ro th\u1eddi ti\u1ebft c\u0169ng nh\u01b0 nguy c\u01a1 gi\u00e1n \u0111o\u1ea1n ngu\u1ed3n cung.<\/p>\n

Minh Trang<\/p>\n

Vietnam+<\/a><\/p>\n

– 05:00 24\/05\/2026<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n